ds
2008-10-25 08:58:07
We still don’t know what role race will play, if any, when folks get to the voting booth. Totally unaccounted for in any poll. Also unaccounted for is any bump in turnout from republican norms that Sarah Palin may bring. She may get out the vote, she may not. But if she does it would be trouble for Obama. Add these two factors together and it adds up to alot more uncertainty about hte final result than is currently the conventional wisdom. Obama is the favorite but there is still a very real chance McCain could win. Any increase in republican turnout and a failure of the much vaunted ‘youth and 1st time voter’ turnout Obama is counting on would make for a big surprise come Nov 5.
