Rick: I think you got it all wrong. This election is more like 1976, 1988 or 1992 one a rep victory the other two dems. Why? You allude to 1980 when Reagan came up after Carter led most of the way. The press in that election, as in all elections had over vetted Reagan and ran stories against him by a ratio of 9:1, he finally pulled away when America realized he wasn’t the monster portrayed in the media. This year Obama gets universal adoration from the media while Mc Cain gets disdain. It is similar to 1992. Only Clinton won with the help of the Reform party. Yet he still had an 11% lead on the weekend before the election and managed to eke out a 4% win. I think Obama does not have the Reform party, but he does have $2B more in money than Mc Cain and he will get about a 3-4% victory with that money. Mark my words, if the press had treated Reagan the way it is treating Obama, those polls would have been completely reversed and Reagan would have carried every state. The press did not turn against Carter until just the fortnight before the election when the polls ‘suddenly’ reversed themselves [regardless, the media still could not manage to run stories in favor of Reagan, it just hated both candidates after about Oct 23rd 1980].
