I think that whenever it happens, we will hear about it in 24 to 48 hours — long enough for security forces to get on an alert footing and arrest a pre-made list of people whose continued freedom would be politically risky.
But the secret, which will necessarily be known to more than a handful of people, couldn’t be kept for much longer even in the face of a history of false rumors. And the people at the top also know that if they delay too long with the news — which will necessarily also mean lying about it — when the news does come out the delay will look like a sign of weakness and insecurity, as well as insensitivity to the true believers.





