I think this a great article Ari! However, I think this year may swing to Obama for the simple fact that President Bush’s approval rating is at an all time low and many Americans may think that the election of McCain will be another continuation of Bush.
The latest gallup poll shows Obama ahead by 10 points (51-41) as of 10/9.
The polls do not appear to be a landslide victory for either side and your premise that this election will come down to less than 7 critical battleground states will most likely be correct.
I’m just not confident McCain can make up the difference in time.





