If McCain-Palin wins it will be due to the Bill and Hillary late October surprise linking Obama to something or other. There is too much support for Obama from the MSM combined with the economic mess which is easy to blame on the republicans. (It is a tribute to the democrats that they played a big hand in this mess and foisted it largely onto the republican party)
The republicans have done a poor job as custodians of the economy. Bush spent too much and did not act forcefully years ago to stop the Dodd-Frank express train to easy credit. Like his father before him who fell for the raise the tax gambit he fell easy pray to the trap sprung on him.
People talk about how smart Biden is. But Hillary nailed it best by observing Palin has had a great performance for someone who only started just 5 weeks ago in this difficult arena. Sounds like smart to me.





