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With Democratic Retirements, GOP 2010 Senate Prospects Brighten

An early look at how the Senate races are shaping up for the November election.

by
Rich Baehr

Bio

January 7, 2010 - 12:00 am
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Reid is in very big trouble, with poll numbers even worse than Dodd’s before Dodd announced his retirement.

Finally, there is Colorado, where appointed Senator Michael Bennet has fared poorly in polls matching him against several GOP challengers. The retirement of Democratic Governor Bill Ritter will also hurt Bennet’s chances.

In summary, the GOP seems near certain to win North Dakota and has a 50-50 shot in Arkansas, Illinois, and Pennsylvania. The GOP is a slight favorite to win the Delaware, Nevada, and Colorado Senate races. Connecticut is likely off the radar as a pickup opportunity.

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A few longshot opportunities for the GOP are New York, California and Wisconsin. In New York, Long Island Congressman Peter King may enter the race against Senator Kirsten Gillibrand after deciding last summer to pass on the contest. Gillibrand may also have to fend off a party primary against former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford, Jr. In California, Barbara Boxer has held about a ten point lead in surveys so far against former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. Senator Russ Feingold seems in good shape in Wisconsin, unless former Governor Tommy Thompson decides to challenge him.

Overall, the chances of the GOP winning back control of the Senate in 2010 (picking up 11 seats) appear to be negligible. But gains are pretty certain. A few GOP-held seats are also vulnerable due to retirements. In Missouri, Democrat Robin Carnahan is a slight favorite to win the seat of Kit Bond against GOP Congressman Roy Blunt. Missouri was the only one of ten Bush states targeted by the Obama campaign that McCain won.

Two GOP contenders — Trey Grayson and Dr. Rand Paul — are currently running ahead of potential Democratic challengers Jack Conway and Daniel Mongiardo for Jim Bunning’s open seat in Kentucky.  In New Hampshire, Republican Kelly Ayotte is running ahead of Congressman Paul Hodes, the likely Democratic nominee for Judd Gregg’s seat.

Both Charlie Crist and Marco Rubio are well ahead of likely Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek in Florida, and former GOP Congressman Rob Portman is ahead of Jennifer Brunner in Ohio to retain George Voinovich’s seat. Democrats have so far not found good challengers against Richard Burr in North Carolina or David Vitter in Louisiana. If the GOP can win Missouri and hold the other open seats, it could net four tosix seats in 2010.

The real opportunity for the GOP to take back the Senate will be in 2012, assuming they make solid gains in 2010. President Obama’s coattails may be a good bit shorter in 2012 than they were in 2008, when the Democrats picked up eight Senate seats. Democrats will have to defend 24 seats in 2012, the GOP only nine.

Many of the Democrats running that year are vulnerable: Sherrod Brown in Ohio, John Tester in Montana, Jim Webb in Virginia (George Allen may show up for a rematch), Claire McCaskill in Missouri, Ben Nelson in Nebraska, among them. Joe Lieberman could run as a Republican rather than an independent in 2012.

Other Democrats who might be vulnerable include Kent Conrad in North Dakota, Herb Kohl  in Wisconsin, Robert Menendez in New Jersey, Bill Nelson in Florida, Debbie Stabenow in Michigan, and Amy Klobuchar in Minnesota, though all start out in good shape.  Among GOP incumbents in 2012, only John Ensign in Nevada seems in jeopardy.

After picking up 15 Senate seats in two cycles, including the Specter switch, the Democrats could be facing two bad cycles in 2010 and 2012. President Obama has the highest disapproval rating for a president entering his second year since Eisenhower. Rasmussen’s generic ballot test shows Republicans ahead of Democrats by 9%, after trailing by 6% a year ago.

It is amazing what a difference a year makes.

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Richard A. Baehr is the co-founder and chief political correspondent for the American Thinker. For his day job, he has been a health care consultant for many years doing planning and financial analyses for providers.

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41 Comments, 41 Threads

  1. 1. Matthew

    I’m sort of assuming that the reps will pick up seats in the midterms. That’s the price of doing stuff, and there’s (apparently) a historical tendency for that to happen anyway. I figure that is why obama is pushing agenda hard – once the legislation is passed, the reps aren’t actually all that likely to roll it back (and they probably won’t have the numbers to overrule a veto anyway)

  2. 2. RE

    Outing the democrats would be good in and of it itself.

    But what do we get with the GOP? The Democrats represent an active attacl on our constitutional Rights and liberties, While the Republicans represent passive erosion of our Constitutional rights and liberties.

    One is clearly worse than the other – but that does not mean that the lesser of evils is necessarily good.

    The GOP really lost the plot since the 1980′s. It’s really difficult to feel any enthusiasm for them and their pathetic lameness.

  3. 3. Bye Bye O

    The American people are pissed.
    They are royally pissed.
    They are full of fury.
    They are in a rage.
    They are determined.

    But, Americans are also unique.
    They are very unique.
    They will not forget.
    They will not forgive.
    They will get even.
    Make no mistake about it.

    Before the predictions of Mr. Baehr’s article are fulfilled; which they will be, Americans are going to redistribute the massive humiliation, pain and suffering that an in-your-face, arrogant president Obama and Congress have wrecked chaos and havoc to their personal lives and our country with.

    In 2010 and 2012 we will see just who gets to say, “We Won, Get Used to It” and who the real suckers are!

  4. 4. Wolla Dalbo

    Take at look at this little gem,”America Rising,” a prime example of anti-Obama & Co. agitprop that deserves to get maximum circulation:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HiyqvuTxaEs

  5. 5. Phineas

    Regarding California, the author writes as if Fiorina is the only candidate or already the nominee. Far from it: Assemblyman Chuck DeVore has been waging a strong grassroots campaign for the nomination and, unlike Fiorina, has consistent political principles that he sticks to. Boxer will have the papers and Hollywood money on her side, but she’s never been really tested in a reelection campaign, as prior Republican nominees were weak. In a year when the state’s economy is in the tank thanks to progressive misrule, that ten-point lead is fragile, and I think DeVore is the best one to break it.

    In Florida, it’s “Marco,” not “Mark.” Picky of me, I know, but I can’t help myself.

  6. 6. David Thomson

    “I figure that is why obama is pushing agenda hard – once the legislation is passed”

    Neither the health care bill nor the cap and tax proposals will be signed into law. Barack Obama has been a marginalized politician for over the last eighteen months. He is unable to get his radical domestic proposals approved by both houses of Congress. The health care bill will die a slow death. Purple and red state Democrats will somehow behind the scenes scuttle the legislation. Ben Nelson’s most recent remarks are an indication of this building momentum.

  7. 7. Nancy

    Carly Fiorina is a rino — exactly the kind of jelly-spined politician that lost us the Presidency and handed us Obama. She also seems to have had some issues during her time as CEO of Hewlett Packard, although I’m not sure of the circumstances. From the little that I’ve heard of DeVore, he seems to be the kind of Conservative that won’t stab us in the back at the first opportunity. Given a choice, I’ll avoid the rino like the poison such people are for the Republicans. They are the ones in Congress that give the GOP a bad name and make Conservatives consider tar and feathers.

  8. 8. alex

    We met Congressman earl Pomeroy in the mid 90′s. The congressman who was supposed to meet us had scheduled another event and was not available. We were there to tour the house, WH, Senate and other buildings on the Mall

    Mr. Pomeroy saw us waiting in the halls, and probably heard our expressions when we were informed of the issue. He cancelled his own meetings and took us for a short tour he hosted himself, and insured we were given hosted tours of the balance of Washington DC. We were not his constituents, there was no reason for him to take personal interest in our situation.

    Some of us went on to serve in Government office, and work with people we discuss on this website, but to this day that gesture still stands out.
    Some of the people are pretty worthless in Washington DC, But Mr. Earl Pomeroy is not one of them. If he indeed retires he will be warmly remembered by many people.

  9. 9. M. Report

    Solidarity:
    Every person who gets the chance
    should ask their CongressCritter
    the same question:
    What are your plans to improve the economy ?

  10. 10. But, But, But, But, But:

    If Republicans take a majority position in November does that mean they take responsibility for the economy?

  11. 11. David Thomson

    “If Republicans take a majority position in November does that mean they take responsibility for the economy?”

    Nope, Obama will still have the ability to veto corrective legislation and take full advantage of his presidential powers. The Republicans can only minimize the damage.

  12. 12. Antoine R

    How about the Special Election January 19, 2010 in Mass.? This will fill Teddy’s seat in the Senate and could prove absolutely crucial to stopping the monstrosity of the healthcare bill. Exactly why they’re trying to ram it through before then. Interesting stuff…only 12 days away…

  13. 13. P T Bull

    Its a shame that we don’t really have much to hope for with the republicans. When will they learn that “not as bad as the democrats” is not an adequate premise for gaining power.

  14. 14. A. M. Mallett

    Have to get M. Steele to heck out of the way first. He stated to fire him if we didn’t like his program so now is the time … Send his Democrat undercover butt down the road.

  15. ACORN will receive A LOT of money to make sure that A LOT of people (or not people !!! zombies, ghosts, etc.) will vote A LOT of times.

    And kangaroo courts will accept the marching orders from the socialist regime-builders.

    We must keep working for the defeat of the communists EVERY DAY, we must be able to defeat them by a HUGE margin, or their tricks will maim the people’s will.

  16. 16. baal

    What we need is s PLEDGE that stipulates that no republican elected official my engage in deficit spending or allow it to go unopposed.

    Seriously, when are the editors of this site going to start looking at actually doing something about this? This could be the topic of discussion and right now the tea party movement has the momentum to swing the republican party it’s way.

    When is this site going to be come about more than discussion of Obama’s idiocy of the day?

  17. 17. baal

    Statements of principle are not sufficient, exhortations that our principles are superior are nothing but hot air if they never get implemented.

    ZERO DEFICIT SPENDING is what we need.

    This cannot be implemented except at the party level. We need the republican party to be the vehicle and the only way to do this is with a binding enforcement mechanism or it will NEVER happen.
    The PLEDGE is the way to move forward. The PLEDGE stipulates that any republican official legislative or executive that engages in deficit spending or allows the same to go unopposed will be immediately removed from the party, NO second chance.
    Just like corporations have a signed agreement with it’s employees that they will not engage in certain practices, the republican party can do the same and WE can force this change from the grassroots.
    Are we here to reform the party or not?

  18. 18. Tony

    Evans Bayh’s seat in Indiana should be mentioned as a possible pick up this year. With the right opponent recruited, Bayh could be defeated in this kind of environment.

  19. 19. Chicagoan4Now

    Mark Kirk is so far left he isn’t even a RINO. Co-sponsored hate crimes legislation, opposes 2nd Amendment/self defense rights, supported partial birth abortion, voted against the surge, and for Cap-and-Tax. There’s a solid conservative running against Kirk in the primary – Patrick Hughes.

    If Kirk wins the primary, he will probably lose the general election because conservatives will sit it out.

  20. 20. Dr. B

    Chicagoan4Now, what do you mean “if” Kirk wins the primary. None of the supposedly ideologically pure challengers on the right can even break into double-digit support. Illinoisians–which includes Conservatives–have spoken loud and clear that they favor Mark Kirk. National Conservative figures and organizations have not opposed Kirk, as they have others; and “Red State” even wrote that it “would be fine” with Kirk. Moreover, Mark Kirk is an honest individual who will tell you exactly where he stands whether it will help him politically or not (and I’ve seen that multiple times in person). As an American, I prefer honesty and integrity to the sort of lock-step ideological purity called for by some of my otherwise good friends on the Right. I can stand disagreeing with a Senator Kirk on some issues, and agreeing with him on how to keep our country safe among other things, rather than telling the world what a great fight I put up while getting trounced by an Obama clone who will be another vote for everything we recognize is killing our nation.

  21. 21. Robert Hawks

    Nothing will change.

    “Departures called ‘profound loss’ for Senate ‘expertise.” So entitles and laments an Article in the Washington Times, Thursday, January 7, 2010, Stephen Dinan.

    “As Sens. Byron L. Dorgan and Christopher J. Dodd announced their retirements this week, their colleagues lamented the years of experience they’ll take with them.” Further adding, other Democrats, Sen. Edward M. Kennedy, former Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr., Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, Interior Secretary Sen. Ken Salazar and Sen. [President] Obama. Then including on the Republican side, the retirements of Sens. Christopher S. Bond, Judd Gregg, Sam Brownback, George V. Voinovich and Jim Bunning.

    No, … Mr Dinan, these are “Rats” leaving a sinking ship. They and others have gnawed huge holes into the hull of the ship called the Ship of State. Over the course of their alleged ‘expertise’ they have transformed the United States Senate, like the United States House of Representatives into a National disgrace. Their ‘expertise’ – vote buying and selling, open disdain for the American Public and our Constitution, lies and deceits, corruption. Yes, they have excelled in their ‘expertise.’ But if ever there was a thing or entity that could be call a “Criminal Enterprise,” the United States Congress would top that list. If you want their continued ‘expertise,’ yes they will be missed.

    The United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives now operate merely as a National version of a “Tammany Hall.” Historically, Tammany Hall, was the “Democratic Party” political machine that played a major role in controlling New York City politics. Since there is scant difference between a Democrat and a Republican, by necessity Republicans are equally included. And both parties have their – “Boss Tweeds” who rightfully deserve the same rewards afforded him.

    NO, I will not miss their continued ‘expertise.’

    It was then by chance I read, “Still the Stupid Party,” which gave me some amusement.

    http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NGM0ZmJlZmU0Yzg2YjM5YmIzM2M1YzEyN2JmNDcwODA=

    The question raised in this article was: “Do Republicans really deserve to win big in 2010?”

    MY ANSWER: HELL NO!

    National Review’s Kevin Williamson made the following comparison, based on Former Senator Alan Simpson’s famous description of our two-party system :

    Democrats = the Evil Party
    Republicans = the Stupid Party

    Not discounting the descriptions are interchangeable, they are interestingly enough true.

    Are the Republicans still the Stupid Party? OF COURSE!

    They have no plan, other than to highlight the Democrats shooting themselves in the foot, hoping the American People stupid enough to put them back in power merely to continue their version of ‘expertise’ which is the same as the Democrats, merely done under a different name.

    The American People are far from being convinced the Democrats version of liberal socialist despotism is their cup of TEA, but the American People are far from convinced and certainly not impressed by Republican hypocrisy.

    Yes, …. “There’s a lot of innovative thinking on the right – but there is little evidence that much or any of it is making its way to the Republican party as such. Conservatives, for instance, have much, much better ideas about health-care reform than do Democrats. A smart Republican leadership would be shouting those from the rooftops. But that’s not happening. Conservatives have good new ideas about energy, national security, and the economy, too, but you wouldn’t know it to hear Republican leaders talk. Even the brainier bits of official Republicandom, such as the Republican Study Committee, seem content, for the moment, to watch the Democrats trip over their own shoestrings.”

    Yes – but the real “innovative thinking” done in Washington DC, is how to maintain the status quo.

    Sadly, and probably more true, real the “Stupid Party” is the American People. For it is our willingness to trust these bastards, that creates our stupidity, mine included.

  22. 22. randyinrocklin

    We dont need no stinking RINOs like Mark Kirk and Mike Castle, they both voted for Cap n Tax! We need REAL CONSERVATIVES!

  23. 23. SteveB/Colorado

    #20 Dr. B.: thanks for your response to Chicagoan. Mark Kirk; plus Mike Castle in Delaware and Rob Simmons in Connecticut; will be excellent senators, if they get elected. Sadly, none of them are ideologically pure enough to satisfy the far right wing types like tea partiers and Club for Growth.

    #22 randyinrocklin: “they both voted for Cap n Tax.” Funny how times change and people forget. Cap & trade actually originated in the Reagan Administration as a market driven means to combat the then-issue of acid rain caused by coal power plants that didn’t have scrubbers on the stacks. Cap N Trade as supported by Reagan worked. Of course, Reagan himself would be far too liberal for the tea partiers of today and others of that political persuasion.

  24. 24. Anonymous

    #23 steveB

    “reagan himself would be far too liberal for the tea partiers of today”… have you been listening to any of his old speeches? He did a lot of practical cross-aisle work, to be sure, given he had a lib congress the whole time.. but man, RR was a seriously principled conservative! Listen to what he said about health care being the entree for socialists to take over! He might as well have been speaking this week instead of 50 years ago…

    at any rate, if RR is too lib for today’s tea partiers (I so stipulate for discussion but do not agree), then JFK would be way way too CONSERVATIVE for today’s— REPUBLICAN party.

    heh.

    As a modern Democrat, JFK would be run out of town on a RAIL… if Stupak is ‘the most hated man in Washington’ because he happens to oppose taxpayer funded abortion but is liberal in all other respects, imagine how hated JFK would be! He was a pro-growth tax cutter who was reluctant to ask the Senate for a civil rights bill!

  25. 25. Dave

    #23 steveB

    “reagan himself would be far too liberal for the tea partiers of today”… have you been listening to any of his old speeches? He did a lot of practical cross-aisle work, to be sure, given he had a lib congress the whole time.. but man, RR was a seriously principled conservative! Listen to what he said about health care being the entree for socialists to take over! He might as well have been speaking this week instead of 50 years ago…

    at any rate, if RR is too lib for today’s tea partiers (I so stipulate for discussion but do not agree), then JFK would be way way too CONSERVATIVE for today’s— REPUBLICAN party.

    heh.

    As a modern Democrat, JFK would be run out of town on a RAIL… if Stupak is ‘the most hated man in Washington’ because he happens to oppose taxpayer funded abortion but is liberal in all other respects, imagine how hated JFK would be! He was a pro-growth tax cutter who was reluctant to ask the Senate for a civil rights bill!

  26. 26. Still Kicking at this advanced age...

    Oh dear. Please pass me another cup of tea while I take advantage of an old lady’s privilege and rattle on a bit.

    Those silly Republicans–running yawn inducing candidates like Dole (the WRONG Dole, in my opinion, which is never humble, dear) and McCain. If the real conservatives–Huckabee, Palin, et al can exert enough influence we could see a revival of the party that gave us Ronald Reagan (have you really looked at what Mike Huckabee has to offer, dears? He would be a stellar president–I’d love to watch him demolish an Obama or Clinton in debate if the silly media would allow him to talk. The debates in the last election absolutely gave me the vapors.

    Thank you for joining me for this little chat. And I really enjoyed reading this article. Don’t you know we are going to hear a lot more in this vein in the coming months.

    It’s just going to be so entertaining.

    Yes, I’d love another cup of tea. Thanks.

  27. 27. Still Kicking...

    …and please pardon an old lady for a teeny tiny lapse of memory–I find more and more I forget to close parentheses these days…

  28. 28. But, But, But, But, But:

    11. David Thomson:
    Nope, Obama will still have the ability to veto corrective legislation and take full advantage of his presidential powers. The Republicans can only minimize the damage.

    Then why do you blame the economy on Democrats under Bush?

  29. 29. skeeziks

    16. baal:
    What we need is s PLEDGE that stipulates that no republican elected official my engage in deficit spending or allow it to go unopposed.

    ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ . . . huh, wha . . .ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

    Why don’t you try selling encyclopedias, you’d have better luck. And even if you didn’t, at least you wouldn’t be boring everybody to tears with your relentless hucksterism of a half-baked idea. “Hey! I got it! Let’s form a pact between everyone who thinks exactly like us do. We’ll call it Promise Keepers. We can get John Ensign to be our fearless leader. I can’t wait to pledge all over somebody just like me.”

    God, can you possibly have TWO ideas in a single lifetime?

  30. 30. Now and Then

    I’ve been redeemed! I’m voting conservitard in 010!

  31. 31. one of my own

    Isn’t anybody moderator this board?

  32. 32. Sambo Hux

    Good news! Brit Hume just proselytized Great Van Susteren so hard her jaw straightened out.

  33. Is it not obvious that,

    The Dems are NOT going to hold ELECTIONS in NOV 2010 or 2012.

    First are their REASONS, and then there are CLUES they are giving out that leads one to that conclusion. Then there’s a REMEDY with links to more detailed analyses:

    REASONS:

    (1)They are organic extension of communist/fascist movememnt, which is historically notorious for never holding elections. At least open, free elections that America is use to.

    (2)They have waited and worked hard for almost 100 years to gain the kind of power they have now over Americans,

    (3)They thought they had a mandate “to fundamentally transform America”. Turns out it was not so. And they know it. To wit, Townhalls, 9/12, NJ/VA losses, taxday rallies, Rasmussen (and other polls),Rush,Teaparties, Militias, They are facing serious defeats in 2010. And they KNOW it.

    (4)In past 12 months they have shown their hand. The ugly truth that these are actually enemies of America and have worked hard to destroy America and break its neck, and hence ruling it as a “thousand year Reich”. And huge majority of Americans KNOW this now,

    (5) If we put together (3), and (4) it is now obvious to the enemy that they not only will loose 2010 and 2012,but that they will NEVER again have the kind of power they have today. The enemy rightly says, “this is our Hour. It is now or never.”

    (6) Put together (1),(2), and (5) the enemy has all the reasons not to ever hold elections. He can not AFFORD to hold elections. Because that would mean certain and final blow to his 100 years of work and waiting.

    Now, the following are the clues from the Enemy’s behavior in past 12 months which clearly shows what he has in mind for America, and what he thinks about elections 2010.

    SEVEN CLUES:

    (1) Most of the enemy’s agenda, both passed, and awaiting passing through the Capitol, and that which has come out of the Administrative orders and regulations, has been blatantly, openly, and shamelessly in direct violation of the Constitution.

    (2) Even after massive majority popular oppostion to his agenda, he has been accelerating through his checklist–which, incidentally, co-incides with an old socialist/fascist playbook.

    (3) After stunning defeats in NJ/VA and almost defeat in NY23, the enemy has DOUBLED DOWN on his agenda.

    (4) He has shown a malicious disdain and disregard for the Constitution and every single principle on which this country was founded, and has flourished—like no other country in the world. Only the mentally deranged and seriously sociopathic individuals can pursue such an obviously destructive path. The point is that he does it everyday with a smirk on his face. One only has to see the gleeful faces of this enemy Senators and Reps, and the Obama Administration, to realize what they are thinking in their minds.

    (5)Obama declared a “National Emergency” over a non-issue. A makebelief disaster. National Emergencey gives him truly amazing powers of suspending laws and most of the Constitution. Further excuses for fortifying and extending that National Emergency will come from a collapsing economy and/or a major Terrorist attack in coming months. Incidentally, the enemy has been working overtime to make both these disaster happen.

    (6)But first, the enemy is has rigged the deck of the election process, census, “Universal Voter Registration”, i.e., federally mandated suspension of State electtion laws, SEIU, ACORN are still in play, and are gaining MORE power, not less. All this is contingency planning, though. It was the main thing before the enemy realized that he does NOT have a mandate to forge the United Soviet Socialist Republics of America.

    (7)Now the enemy increasingly behaves as Nazis behaved as soon as Germans realized what a huge mistake they had made in electing them to power. For example, Obama has been advocating, and very likely working behind the scenees, to form “a civilian force comparable to our military in might”…No such force is provided for nor allowed in the Constitution. Also, recently he has decreed that Interpol will have sweeping immunity on American Soil. Also, a russian source has recently asserted that Obama has ordered the comander of our military in charge of North American region to raise troops to levels as hight as one million. The enemy KNOWS that after 2009, he has no future in a USA ran by democratic and constitutional processes. And he knows the reaction of the American people when he suspends and trashes all things Constitutional. He is preparing for a popular uprising. A civil war, if you will.

    This enemy does not look like, walk like, or ACT like someone who is anticipitating any setbacks in any future elections, nor does have any REASONS to do so. And he HAS all the reasons to do exactly opposite. No amount of calling senators, teaparties, rallies, public outrage, etc, HAS had any effect on his drive to push through his agenda, and no such thing WILL have any effect. And hanging our hopes on elections will be the biggest strategic mistake Americans have ever made in their history of over 225 years of existence. It will be fatal.

    There is only one way to stop the enemy’s steamroller. An immediate, extensive, and unending popular uprising against the enemy. We are convinced that if enough number of Americans hit the streets of DC and refuse to leave until enemy leaves, we will not need to have an armed civil war. Furthermore, if we wait till Nov 2nd 2010, to actually see what the enemy has in mind, we will give him precious time to prepare for an uprising which WILL then follow. Also, he will have had ten more months to destroy more of America—very likely fatally so. The worst, though, is the real certainty that if the enemy springs his designs on America on the eve of the elections, there will be an uncontrolled and ARMED civil war. We can prevent this potential bloodbath if we wake up NOW, and do the wiser thing. Checkout our more detail analysis of what we CAN do right now, and how to go about doing it at our think-tank website http://wardesk.org or http://wardesk.com. Note that this blog has been posted at several places in different forms, and has appeared on NY POST: http://www.nypost.com/David_Horowitz and is based on http://wardesk.com/endgame.html

  34. 34. Sheesh

    Paging Mr hannity . . .Sean Hannity . . . your waterboard is ready . . . paging Sean Hannity . . . .we’re prepared to help you fulfill your pledge to charity . . . Mister Hannity please report to the wooden plank for your waterboarding

  35. 35. I'm confused

    If hospital tests showed that nothing was wrong with Rush Limbaugh that a Tums couldn’t cure, then why would he say he wouldn’t have survived if it had happened after health care reform?

  36. 36. Jim Baker

    Before we get too wound up about the Democrats problems we shouldn’t forget that those Democrats will still have 500 billion dollars to spend from the so called stimulus package. That is enough money to spend about $10,000 for every voter in the mid-term elections. A lot of votes will be bought this year. And, even if the Republicans regain a majority in both houses, the president and 4,000,000 government workers will still be Democrats. Plus, they are turning out millions of new useful idiots every year from our government schools. And don’t forget the millions of illegals who become Democrat voters as soon as the Democrats grant them amnesty. They believe they are entrenched and that is why they are passing this sorry health care bill against the will of the people. Anyone who thinks losing Dodd, Dorgan, and Ritter will hurt them needs to look at the much improved chances for the Dems who are quickly replacing them on the ballots.

  37. 37. kochevnik

    Republican Contribution to Middle class

    I watched Hardball with Chris Mathew last night. A Republican strategist was there. Chris asked him “What has the Republican party done for the middle class?” He asked the question 3 times and the guy could not give him a 1 definite answer. All he could say was “to keep America safe.”

  38. 38. Tarbender

    No more RINO’s! Only conservative candidates who stand for north pointing principals. Congress is collapsing the US economy with pork, taxes, regulations and controls that need to be stopped immediately. The conservatives elected can stop Obamanation and reduce taxes, stop pork spending, reduce regulation to zero and get out of the way of all business development. Then we will have lots of jobs, jobs, jobs. Not the phantom jobs that Obamanation claims are happening when the pork is spent on “shovel-ready” jobs. Keynesian spending failed in 1936, and any country that tried it suffered lousey economic conditions like Japan in the ’80-90′s. Vote for Conservative Republicans.

  39. 39. Ann

    Phineas you are absolutely correct. The author ignores Assemblyman DeVore and his one point behind the establishment’s pick Fiorina. Rasmussen has Fiorina and DeVore without a margin of error. Both are 10 pts behind Boxer. This is one year ahead of the election and does not bode well for Boxer. Fiorina is carrying baggage with articles written about electronics sold to Iran under her watch. These articles published in the Boston Globe and San Jose Mercury News. She also has a grassroots movement against her by HP and former HP employees who know her well.

    DeVore on the other hand is endorsed by the Howard Jarvis Taxpayer Association. That endorsement does not come easy. His voting record in the CA Assembly backs his words. He says what he means, means what he says, and walks the talk. He has the experience and the know how. He has worked in Foreign Affairs under President Reagan. For me this author has not done his homework. Assumptions may well be an advantage for DeVore. Underestimate the man and grassroots movements at this time can be a boost to the underdog.

  40. 40. SteveB/Colorado

    #33 Wardesk: “Is it not obvious that the Dems are not going to hold elections…..”

    That rambling thought line makes about as much sense as the silliness from the far lefties in ’07 and ’08 who claimed that Bush/Cheney would cancel the ’08 presidential election so they could stay in power.

    But Wardesk forgot to include the black helicopters full of UN troops landing from Canada in November.

  41. 41. Timbo

    The transformation of the political map in only a year is one of the most remarkable changes in such a sort span of time in recent political history.

    The only really weak link for the GOP is former rising star John Ensign.

    However, he should be forgiven for his wrong-doing if he 1) shaves off all his famous silver hair and remains bald, and 2) trades in his pinstriped suits and Italian shoes for sack cloth and bare feet.

    I really only want him to do that because I am his age – and almost bald myself – and I recently lost my job. So if I can’t afford the shoes and suits he wears, why should he have them? Life just ain’t fair sometimes….

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