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Obama’s Failed ‘Recovery Summer’

Worst economic slogan since Herbert Hoover — for what really is the worst economy since Herbert Hoover.

by
Tom Blumer

Bio

August 24, 2010 - 12:03 am
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Summer won’t technically end for almost a month, we’re still a couple of weeks away from Labor Day, and many of the nation’s children haven’t yet returned to school. But no matter when one thinks summer ends, it’s already way past obvious that the Obama administration’s “Recovery Summer” has been and will end up being a big, fat, embarrassing failure.

How bad? The housing market’s worst-on-record June for new construction was followed by its worst-on-record July. In each case, the year-over-year decline from 2009, when what I have been calling the POR (Pelosi-Obama-Reid economy since the middle of 2008 supposedly hit its trough, was about 10%. In what are usually two of the best months of the year for builders, in a nation with almost 130 million housing units, construction began on barely over 100,000 new ones. That’s about 65% lower than the 1959-2007 average for the same two months.

An economist quoted by the Associated Press on August 19 described the construction situation for office buildings, malls, and hotels in three words: “Dead, dead, dead.”

Seasonally adjusted unemployment claims have headed back upward. The talk about the unemployment rate is no longer about when it will finally get below 9%, but how much it will rise from its current 9.5%. Retail sales are not impressing anyone. Manufacturing, which appeared as if it might lead the way to recovery just a few months ago, seems to have gone into reverse, perhaps in a big way.

Looking at the bigger picture, second quarter economic growth, currently pegged at an annualized 2.4%, will almost certainly be revised significantly downward. The New York Times has admitted to “somewhere around 1.7%.” There are solid reasons to believe that it could even come in below 1%. That’s significant, because almost everyone thinks that the third quarter, which roughly tracks the beginning and end of what is really turning out to be our “Recovery Bummer,” will be worse. The journey to a double-dip recession is not at all far.

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23 Comments, 16 Threads, 4 Trackbacks

  1. 1. ElisaPardo

    “Recovery Bummer.”

    We should run with that, says it all: epic fail.

  2. The Obama administration reminds me of the Ford administration with their “WIN” buttons, standing for “Whip Inflation Now.” Funny, I never got my “Recovery Summer” button in the mail.

    The problem with Obama is that he is copying the same failed economic policies of FDR during the 1930s, and with the same horrific results. The New Deal extended the Great Depression and was a terrible blow to the economy, just like the repeal of the Bush tax cuts will kill whatever minor “recovery” was going on now. If the repeal of the Bush tax cuts (which are really a huge tax increase) does take place and government spending does NOT go down, you will have the exact same formula FDR used in the 1930s with high taxes and huge government spending. It didn’t work then and it will not work now.

    But perhaps the strangest argument the Democrats make is that, “The Republicans have no new ideas.” Well, what do the Democrats have to offer? More of this same failed policy? Are the democrats going to double-down on spending, even though spending over a trillion (with a “T”) dollars didn’t do anything to “stimulate” the economy? What is Obama’s great plan going forward? The answer is: spend, spend, spend and hope that something works. That is no way to get over this economic problem we’re in and Franklin Roosevelt already proved it over 70 years ago.

    • Dianna

      I agree entirely, and add that at least FDR loved the country; he encouraged and uplifted the citizens. No one could possibly say that of the current administration!

    • Tollhouse

      The reality is the Obama is not following FDR’s economic policies, but actually Herbert Hoover. This isn’t 1932, this is 1930.

  3. 3. blotto

    “Perhaps a new majority will be able to keep the executive branch from inflicting too much further damage in the two years that follow.”

    Not likely. Even IF we get a majority in the House, we always lose our spine to do anything. But moreover, we need a majority in the Senate which is not very likely. The left controls the MSM, judiciary, foundations, academia and owns too much money on Wall Street. Until we take over all three houses with super-majorities and the judiciary we will never roll back what this administration and Congress has done. And what has been done over the last 50 years.

    “If this administration and the current Democratic congressional majority were genuinely interested in an economic recovery, they would not be standing idly by as the tax-increase deadline approaches.”

    Who, in their right mind, believes that this admin and Congress are interested in an economic recovery? They seek its utter destruction as per Cloward-Piven.

  4. 4. Rob Ives

    It is worse than you think, blotto. Remember that even if the Republicans get a majority in both the House and the Senate, it will NOT be a filibuster-proof majority. The reason for the Democrats’ desperate push to pass the “stimulus” and health care “reform” was that they knew very well they would probably not be able to maintain 60 votes in the Senate for long.

    • SB

      And Obama can veto healthcare repeal unless there is a 2/3 majority in the House. Seems unlikely.

      • Chester White

        Spend bills arise in the House.

        If they have the guts, Republicans can fund Obamacare with a budget of $1.

  5. 5. JKB

    They took us on a bender. We supposedly had the summer to dry out. It seems they didn’t just get us drunk and have their evil way. No, they left us bent over the table and we’re still getting screwed to this very day. The hang over has hung on, our innocence lost. Now we’ll have to craw home and explain to our children their cost. It was ‘Recovery Summer’ that failed us but really it is just now we’re ready to admit we have a problem. Step one, admit there is a problem – done. Step two, put someone in charge to mitigate further damage – deadline couple of months. Step three, face up to what has been done, try to salvage something, see if we can make headway – no deadline, this will be life from now on.

    • SB

      And last but not least, keep abreast of what is going on in your government, including your state government. Speak up! Vote! Teach your children to do this too.

  6. 6. Richard

    Green shoots everywhere I look. Obama is THE MAN!!! We love him him here in CA.

    • Don Rodrigo

      You’re supposed to use that “/sarc” thing with this kind of post. Otherwise, some people might think you’re serious.

    • You’ve either forgotten your sarcasm tags or you are gibbering, bugf*ck crazy.

  7. 7. Garrett

    electing a majority of Reublicans to the House and increasing the number in the Senate and then going back to our lives will accomplish little or nothing. We need to stay on top of what government is doing, stay invloved in our elected leaders decisions, and above all resolve to remove backsliders from office in 2012. We should not be shy about saying so. “Threaten with removal” is not divisive a phrase. IT took the US decades to get here, and we are seeing only the approaching wave of the tsunami. It will take us decades to reverse the damage, when it hits. You and I must work the remainder of our lives for that which we will not see, the safety and security of the American experiement.

  8. 8. GRW3

    If we can get control of the House we have a major step in putting things right. One thing we need to do is to be less clever than Newt and make all the resolutions very clear. Don’t give ‘O’ the chance to say we’re shutting down the country. Make sure the legislation targes bureaucrats. For instance:

    - When you cut the Interior Department budget, forbid them from cutting Park Rangers and Staff make the cuts in Washington.
    - When you cut the Education Department Budget, forbid them from cutting money to schools and make them cut bureacrats in Washington.
    - When you cut the DOT, forbid them from cutting air traffic control or DOT inspectors and make them get rid of the ‘dreamers’ planning our future transportation needs.

    Every place you look you can find similar savings. Besides the cuts of personnel, freeze all non-military wages until the gov/private sectors assume balance – including benefits.

    Ultimately one of the things we should advocate is decentralizng Congress. In this day and age ther is no need to have Congress in the capitol physically except for cerimonial occassions. Fear of pitchforks and torches in the front yard ought to keep the Congress more in line with the wishes of the people instead of K street lobbyists.

  9. 9. Jack Okie

    GRW3:

    Agree with your strategy in cutting into the bureaucracy.

    The fundamental problem in Washington DC, however, is that there are no constraints on the huge amounts of money hoovered up to DC. The Founders had excellent reasons for establishing different methods of voting for House, Senate and President. Before the 17th Amendment, Senators were sent to Washington by their state legislatures, to represent those legislatures. No Senator in his right mind was going to approve a budget that harmed his home state. Now Senators are loose cannons.

    Repeal the 17th Amendment, restore the ability of state legislatures to appoint their states’ Senators, and you will see a vast difference
    1) in the amount of money reaching DC,
    2) in the kinds of Supreme Court nominees who make it through the consent process (think support for the 10th Amendment, reversing the overreach of the Commerce Clause, etc),
    3) and many other areas.

    States will no longer be locked into one national template: States like Oklahoma and Texas will become “Sanctuary States”, attracting productive refugees from the blue states. Blue states like California and Michigan can continue to circle the toilet, but now without the national government being able to bail them out.

  10. Meanwhile, the INVA$ION continues… http://www.BorderInvasionPics.com

  11. 11. LarryD

    To “institutionalize” smaller government the 16th Amendment needs to be repealed, too. That doesn’t just eliminate the income tax, it rescinds the Federal Governments ability to re-distribute money (read it).

  12. 12. dave72

    “Recovery Summer” has replaced “Mission Accomplished” and then some!

  13. 13. Deborah

    Greetings from the Vineyards!
    Bambi and MOOchelle

  14. 14. pelaut

    No way has his summer failed. Progressives, Marxists, Bolsheviks, whatever you want to call it, ALWAYS resort to more force when their fantasies fail.
    The long hot summer will proceed to a race war to discredit conservatives.
    No doubt about it.

  15. 15. call me Roy

    Look people, the “Anointed One” makes his chess move’s and us babbling humans need to realize that the unbelieving conspiracy “heathen” understate the issues when they say that Obama is a radical. Alas, they know not the secrets we are all going to witness. The “Anointed One” is amazing, he takes the people at the highly efficient Post Office and sends them right over to the Student Loan Program. The “Anointed One” knows all. Twitter messages were machine-gunned to cell phones at mach speed. Facebook and MySpace groups spread across the Internet like digital fire. YouTube videos featuring celebrities ricocheted across the globe and into college students’ in-boxes with devastating regularity. All the while, the Obama mega-money-raising engine whirred on at high speed, until the result became inevitable: an unthinking mass of young voters marched forward to elect the “Anointed One.”
    I am not surprised to hear these stinking lies about our “Anointed One,” it should be apparent to anyone that this was coming down the pike. I do have a couple questions about future process steps concerning these developments? When the “Annointed One” decides to start bar-coding everyone, will we get to decide if the mark is on our hand or forehead? Allot of people will prefer the hand, (especially women of course), unless your a porn actress or something along those lines. Also, my girlfriend was wondering if the Administration will be getting fashion advice from Hollyweird or the New York City crowd? We are both agree that the Administration “Maoies” as the “Anointed One ” so lovingly calls them,will be getting uniforms similar to the SS uniforms in Germany in WW2. With big letters abreviating “Barack’s Socialists.” So shall we start calling them the BS?

  16. 16. Berlet98

    Relapse Summer 2010

    As thousands of mortgagors, many of whom wouldn’t qualify for mortgages in the real world, line up to be bailed out by the feds, as the nation’s recession birth rate falls to 2.7%, the lowest in a century, as Joint Chief of Staffs Chairman Mike Mullen warns that the national debt is endangering national security, President Nero Obama fiddles away, chows down on shrimp and lobster, golfs, parties with the other rich and famous on Martha’s Vineyard, and generally enjoys the hell out of his sixth vacation this year.

    Is anyone minding the ranch? It certainly isn’t our vice president who revels in his own non-existent, Nirvana.

    It can’t yet be termed a double dipper, it certainly isn’t the Big Dipper, but VP Joe Biden’s sanguine reference some weeks ago to the summer of 2010 as “recovery summer” is turning out to be one of the dumbest and most presumptuous remarks our dumb and presumptuous vice president has made to date.

    Even if Biden’s July mantra was only part of the administration’s campaign to convince the American people not to believe their lying eyes and those lying economic numbers and it wasn’t one his very original observations such as, “This is a f***ing big deal!” the term “Recovery Summer” has been hung around the VP’s neck like a dead economic albatross.

    And, not only is Recovery Summer 2010 collapsing into Relapse Summer 2010 but the administration doesn’t seem to much care or notice any more than they notice former rabid supporters turning on them as if they had a terminal dose of the plague.

    When the CBO announces that Obama’s stimulus “may” have added 3.1 million jobs and lowered the unemployment rate by up to 1.7% in the second quarter and is unable to substantiate either of those bizarre claims and no one is able to locate any of those phantom jobs and the Commerce Department reports a paltry 1.7% GDP increase in that same quarter, people begin to wonder as should the Obamians.

    When staunch Obamian from day one, David Letterman, begins cracking jokes about the sorry state of America’s financial affairs and refers to his former hero as a one-term president, which Letterman has been doing of late, Obamians might want to consider sitting up and taking notice even if, by force of habit, Dave and his writers still reserve their most scathing rips for George W. Bush.

    However, when the media mogul, gazillionaire, highly-influential Mortimer B. Zuckerman . . .
    (Read more at http://www.genelalor.com/blog1/?p=1867)

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