Another great summary of the 20th century.

there is this stealth USSR that is an effective setup in the east

Obama team calls to Iran or N Korea are just a show for very stupid

Obama knows it better then anyone

my qustion is: why is he fooling the American public?

And another question:

why is he so sure that kremlin will warn him beforehand their attack on USA?

In case of the war Obama will be number one casualty, that is how soviet do for 100 years already: he knows too much and trhey get rid of him

it was done in every new soviet acquisition since 1917

It’s true our war in Iraq did not affect the flow of oil; however, an Iran/Israel War is a different paradigm. Will other Muslim nations join Iran to oppose Israel? That is a big question. Will they aid Iran overtly in a drawn out conflict with Israel to bring international pressure to bear on the US and Israel to end the war? Yes, I think they would. How best to accomplish that pressure? By tightening the valves on the oil pipelines.

So basically, I believe there are two factors that are involved in the dynamic of oil disruption. The immediate danger to shipping caused by the uncertainties of such a war and the possibility of OPEC slowing the flow because of Israeli success in a protracted war.

Mr Chang, this was an excellent article that deserved more attention than it received. I appreciate an author’s willingness to debate commentary and thereby allowing more insight for both writer and reader. Thank you for this opportunity, hopefully this will become a template for future discussions. Please feel to challenge me in the future. Steve

John – TMF, I am not sure I agree with your thoughts on successful negotiations, but you are surely correct when you write this: “If you desire war, offer surrender to your adversary when he bullies you.” That’s a great summary of the most important lesson of the 20th century.
Sep 14, 2009 – 1:44 pm

John, so right, to bad we never grasped this concept. The pols all feel that the rules for governing and war have changed and so they go about their pretend change and it never seems to dawn on them that people have not changed and the same thing that motivated them 500 years ago still works today.

We are always preparing for peace and so we get continual wars. The conduct that leads to war applies in many areas of life, I am involved in maintenance, if you equipment is well maintained and rarely if ever breaks down, your funding will be cut, management can’t grasp the idea that it never broke because of all the effort put into maintaining it, see no problem, must not need the money. Just your basic short sighted human reasoning. Manages to screw things up every time.