A much loathed Labor government, the economy in shambles, and little hope that things will right themselves soon — this is the situation which preceded Margaret Thatcher’s triumph in 1979. And this should be a formula for the UK opposition Conservative Party to be way ahead in the polls in 2010. However, this time around, it looks as if a hung parliament will be the election result.
A hung parliament is the result of a parliamentary election in which no one party has a majority in the House of Commons. It is then a scramble to see which parties can beat the others to a successful coalition to form a government. Some believe the prospect of a hung parliament is not so bad.
David Cameron, leader of the Conservative Party, is the pretty boy adored by the blue-rinse set, but he has not been able thus far to impress the rest of the country. With the election due to be held within the next three months, there is a good chance that he will be unable to get a simple majority. The Labor government may retain their ruling majority under a power-sharing deal — a coalition with one of the third parties. How could this be? How has David Cameron so missed the mood of the people that he has not inspired their support?
A comparison with John McCain is not unreasonable, despite their significant differences in experience and in age. Like McCain, Cameron has had a hard time inspiring his party’s “core” conservative voters. His middle-of-the-road and wishy-washy center-right talk does not inspire the voters to his cause. It appears that Cameron refuses to change his ways and abandon some of his ideas that clearly turn off voters. Even more than McCain, Cameron insists on babbling on about climate change, cap and trade, and similar policies. There was even a proposal to tax plastic bags to encourage more use of alternate methods of carrying groceries. More tax of any kind is suicide for a party in recessionary times, when most people want fewer and lower taxes.
In short, the people are hurting and wary of new taxes and regulation, but Cameron doesn’t seem to notice. The United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP), which advocates UK freedom from the European Union, came in second in the European Parliament elections, but this remarkable performance from a new rival party appears not to have affected Cameron. He continues to vacillate about the UK’s relationship with the European Union. He continues to oppose giving UK citizens a referendum on Britain’s relationship with the giant, corrupt entity to its east.
Cameron continues to ignore the threat on his right — the British National Party (BNP). The BNP talks calmly about multiculturalism. Meanwhile, Cameron fails to understand that in the public housing estates in the north of England, the BNP seems to be the only party that is “listening” to people’s concerns over immigration, Islamization, and continued perceived attacks on British values.