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Housing Finance Reform Proposals Seek Larger Role for Private Sector

Republicans and Democrats agree that Fannie and Freddie have to go, but they disagree on the role the government should play.

by
Rodrigo Sermeño

Bio

November 12, 2013 - 10:34 pm
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The PATH Act faces stiff opposition in Washington. In addition, leaders of the national Mortgage Bankers Association and the Center for Responsible Lending said they favor the Senate proposal.

Opponents of the bill say it would mean the end of 30-year fixed rate mortgages. Critics also worry that the private sector is not capable of providing a reliable and adequate supply of housing credit without a federal backstop. They argue these mortgages are good for consumers but risky for banks because it is so hard to hedge against uncontrollable risks over so many years.

“The [Hensarling’s] proposal would badly hurt America’s middle class, ending the affordable 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, the lifeblood of our housing market,” Waters said. “It severely limits the availability of FHA backed mortgages and raises the costs of those mortgages significantly. By severely undercutting the FHA, the PATH Act is bad for community banks, consumers and taxpayers.”

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said federal support is particularly important in continuing the availability of the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. NAHB Chairman Rick Judson told the Senate Banking Committee Thursday that an effective housing finance reform plan must include a federal backstop to ensure that these mortgages remain affordable.

“There are serious doubts on whether a private housing finance system would be capable of supporting this type of product without some government backing,” he said. “At a minimum, the cost and terms of 30-year mortgages would be significantly less favorable under a totally private system and many fewer families would be eligible for home loans.”

Any housing finance reform faces the question whether private capital is ready and able to provide mortgage credit to U.S. homebuyers through a secondary market if Fannie and Freddie are closed.

Mark Calabria, director of financial regulation studies at the Cato Institute, is confident the private market will step in to replace the government’s role in the mortgage business. To back up his claim, he points to the existence of the jumbo mortgage market.

In most markets, Fannie and Freddie cannot back loans of more than $417,000, although the cap ranges as high as $625,000 in areas that are more expensive and up to $721,050 in Hawaii. Mortgages within these FHFA-mandated limits are known as “conforming loans.” Loans that exceed that amount, called jumbo loans, cannot be bought by Fannie and Freddie, and consequently are not guaranteed by the U.S. government. Instead, these loans have to be originated and then securitized by private financial institutions.

Calabria said if a government guarantee was essential we would expect the jumbo market to be relatively small compared to the relevant segment of the housing market. Instead, the jumbo loans, which have comparable interest rates to conforming loans, currently amount to 5 percent of the mortgage market even though homes exceeding the FHFA high-cost limit are only 4 percent of the market.

He said one effective way to start the phase-out process would be to reduce the limits for conforming loans, giving Fannie and Freddie a smaller share of the mortgage market.

President Obama has voiced his support for the Corker-Warner proposal. In August, the president outlined his proposal, which is largely in line with the Senate overhaul.

He said any measure he signed into law should “preserve access to safe and simple mortgage products like the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.”

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Rodrigo is a freelance writer living in Washington, D.C.

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41 weeks ago
41 weeks ago Link To Comment
So, the answer is full-blown fascism.

See: Italy, Mussolini, 1919 through 1945.

Also see: Piano wire, Mussolini, ultimate fate of.
41 weeks ago
41 weeks ago Link To Comment
The problem is two-part:
1). The 30 year fixed rate mortgage. This product is a nightmare for mortgage lenders. Unless overall interest rates are Very stable for a Very long time, it is virtually impossible for lenders to reliably fund these products. The 30 year fixed rate loan was the primary culprit in the S&L crisis of the 80's. Recall, back in the day, S&Ls were the primary mortgage lenders in America. The business was as plain vanilla as was possible to imagine. Pay depositors 3%. Make 6% 30 year fixed rate mortgages. Be on the golf course by 3 PM. Easy breezy. But when interest rates spiked in the 80's that giant pile of 30 year fixed rate assets turned into a giant albatross around the neck of the S&Ls. These firms went from healthy to bankrupt in six months. They hemorrhaged deposits to places like Dreyfus and Nuveen. They were doomed. The 'solution' of allowing them to pay more on deposits only made things worse because they still couldn't really compete with the money market funds so the deposits kept leaving and they were now paying the remaining depositors more than 6% interest. Further deregulation allowing them to diversify their investments in the hope that they could earn their way out of trouble only meant that these sleepy institutions went searching for high yield investments about which they knew practically nothing. The results were entirely predictable. But that was a foregone conclusion. Saddled with the mountain of 30 year fixed rate paper, they were doomed once interest rates spiked.

Flash forward a few years. The 30 year fixed rate mortgage was still the bedrock of home lending and still a nightmare to fund. How to try to manage the unmanageable risk? Securitization and tranching....all those exotic CMO's. But the underlying risk of that 30 year paper didn't go away. It just got stuffed into the bottom pieces of the capital structure of those CMOs. Once again the results were entirely predictable.

The underlying problem #1 continues to be the funding of the 30 year fixed rate loan.

2). Government's continual use of the housing market as a source of 'stimulus'.
David Goldman has a great piece (Demographics & Depression) which I'll quote from here:

"Families with children are the fulcrum of the housing market. Because single-parent families tend to be poor, the buying power is concentrated in two-parent families with children.

Now, consider this fact: America's population has risen from 200 million to 300 million since 1970, while the total number of two-parent families with children is the same today as it was when Richard Nixon took office, at 25 million. In 1973, the United States had 36 million housing units with three or more bedrooms, not many more than the number of two-parent families with children–which means that the supply of family homes was roughly in line with the number of families. By 2005, the number of housing units with three or more bedrooms had doubled to 72 million, though America had the same number of two-parent families with children."

Every time there is an economic slowdown, the first lever government (of both parties) reaches for is the one that gooses housing. Gott'a love the politics of increased home building and home ownership ... All those domestic jobs and happy new homeowners .... American dream. But the result is an even bigger mountain of 30 year fixed rate paper and an over-supply of single family homes.

And now, to paraphrase Reagan, here we go again.
41 weeks ago
41 weeks ago Link To Comment
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