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GOP Counting on ‘Motivated Base,’ Courting ‘Low-Propensity Voters’ to Win This Fall

“When the president gets a cold nationally, he gets pneumonia in the states we care about."

by
Rodrigo Sermeño

Bio

July 21, 2014 - 12:16 am
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WASHINGTON – Republican groups presented an optimistic, confident outlook of their position for the fall elections on Wednesday – one hundred days before Americans head to the ballots.

The five GOP committees overseeing presidential, Senate, House, gubernatorial and state legislative races hosted a joint press briefing on Capitol Hill, where they highlighted their coordinated strategy for the November elections.

Republican National Committee Chief of Staff Mike Shields said the idea behind the event was to highlight how well the groups are “working together.”

Shields said there are some “common things in many of the different races that makes us feel good about where we are headed.”

“We are in a very good position because we have a motivated base,” Shields said.

He confidently predicted that victories at the ballot box in 2014 would eclipse the sweep in 2010 that gave Republicans the House majority. Shields said this is due to “major gains in the GOP brand,” combined with the general dissatisfaction among voters about the nation’s direction.

Shields cited a poll that showed 53 percent of Americans believe it is important to put Republicans in charge to offset Obama and his party allies.

He explained the GOP’s strategy ahead of the midterm elections and spoke of the steps the RNC has taken to increase voter support in targeted districts.

After 2012, the RNC decided to focus on two things: building out its ground game and working on its data infrastructure.

The RNC has recruited 16,630 precinct captains and dispatched 304 field staffers – 24 state directors and 280 organizers – to try to mobilize 10 million “low-propensity voters” in November. This staff also includes 30 Hispanic engagement officers,  and 15 African-American and eight Asian-American engagement staff.

Part of this new push is building the infrastructure for the thousands of volunteers who will be walking in the targeted precincts and using “canvassing apps” and other data-driven technology that will provide real-time information to them.

RNC reported that it has already made more than 1.3 million voter contacts.

Shields denied that Republicans were trying to “emulate” Obama’s successful 2008 and 2012 campaigns, which saw them leading in aggressive voter contact and technology. Instead, he said, Republicans are trying to surpass them.

“I always say, the Democrats put up Sputnik, we can put a man on the moon,” Shields said.

National Republican Congressional Committee Executive Director Liesl Hickey described this year’s Republican congressional candidates as one of the “most exciting recruitment classes” that she can remember.

Hickey said the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) is spending most of its money on defense to “stop the bleeding” and hold on to its seats in the House.

She noted that 68 percent of the NRCC spending has been on offense, compared with 48 percent by the DCCC.

House Republicans are overwhelmingly favored to hold their majority, which currently stands at 233-199, with two vacancies in Democratic districts.

Top Rated Comments   
1) They are openly at war with that "motivated base" and would rather lose than listen to them.

2) They brag about the number of precinct captains that they have signed up. In my county, 1/3 of the precinct captains are TEA Party, and we are not happy. When you attack us harder than you attack the Left, it kinda reduces motivation.

Subotai Bahadur
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
The gop is dead to me. Not another penny, not another vote. I will NOT forget MS, on top of all the other BS they have done. Traitors, all of them.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
I am part of the GOP base, and I am not at all motivated this year. Yes, I'll go vote in November, but I'm not voting for any Republican who voices only obligatory support for low taxes, low spending, secure borders, and reining in Obamacare. I want action on these items, and I want it now. If they argue that they need to wait until 2017 when Obama's out of office, then I'm not interested. How is waiting another 2+ years for action supposed to motivate me, especially when I don't trust that they'll do what they say they'll do?
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (43)
All Comments   (43)
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I'll say this loud and clear: any American Jew who votes for
A Democrat this November is casting a vote for HAMAS !
You did enough damage voting for Obama, Y'mach Shemo.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
I wish I would have someone to vote for. I am afraid that if the GOP wipes the floor with the Democrats in the midterms the same GOP will force Jeb down out throats in '16 (or some similar "it's his turn" useless hairball) Soo...
my thoughts are "give them enough rope." Obama may destroy the Democratic Party along with a good chunk of the economy and even the world (at this stage the only thing he did not try yet is losing a nuclear war) but the country can take it. I am tired of the DP destroying and us coming after them and reconstruct -- only to have them start the process all over again -- Like the Nazi Party in 1945 they should have been banned after the Civil War. There are better chances that the DP will defeat themselves than the GOP defeating them. I hope they do something so atrocious, so horrible, so obviously destructive and painful that will embed forever in the American mind a total ban of Liberal and Progressive ideas.

Imagine No Liberals.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
The gop's base? You mean the new one? Ya know, the illegal alien invader base? The one they're trying to court so they can replace those damned, pesky conservative voters? Good luck with that.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
How about, instead of relying on low voter turnout, we simply win the American electorate back by actually standing for principles? Why does our campaign strategy not include a plan to turn moderates into conservatarians and liberals into moderates?
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
The GOP base may be motivated, but all data shows that it is not quite as motivated as 2010. Any story to the contrary is propaganda. At the same time, the Democrats did not do much organizing and GOTV in 2010. They really were caught napping. They won't be this time. Any talk about Republican organizing and GOTV is propaganda, because this is something that only Democrats can do. When you represent the poor and get 95% of the votes of Blacks, it is pretty simple to send out organizers and vans to herd the Blacks and the Poor to the polls. The Democrats also swarm the nursing homes with absentee ballots and drag the mentally disabled to the polls and vote for them. The GOP doesn't have any concentrated supporters who wouldn't drag themselves to the polls anyway. Sending out vans wouldn't do us any good.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
Establishment GOP politicians may or may not get my vote in the primary. But I can tell you one thing, they will not get one thin dime from me this year.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
LOL @ GOP! They undercut the Tea Party, push for amnesty, and now want my vote? Fugehtaboutit.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
They have no base anymore. The "base," is gone. We are voting constitutionalist, and won't vote for the old guard anymore. They're delusional. I think La Raza is their new base, isn't it?

The old GOP is washed up and finished. No one wants them. The left uses them, and their base has divorced them.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
I'm NOT a part of the Republican base but I vote regularly. I will be voting in November and my vote will go ONLY to candidates with TEA Party endorsements or who exhibit libertarian (small L) values.
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
After watching the establishment Republicans turn on the conservative candidates who won their primaries in 2010 and 2012, off up milquetoast Nelson Rockerfeller to head their banner in 2012, and then the venomous attacks and outright lies told about on the conservative in Mississippi on behalf of the fat lobbyist who used to be governor and the trough hog Republican who has been in the Senate since 1876 (oops, I meant 1976), I'm pretty much done voting for "Republicans."

I'll vote for a conservative or stay home. The lesser of two evils is still evil...
7 weeks ago
7 weeks ago Link To Comment
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