Get PJ Media on your Apple

Desperate Times, Desperate Dems

Their usual recourses.

by
Tom Blumer

Bio

March 24, 2014 - 11:32 pm
Page 1 of 2  Next ->   View as Single Page

obama_sos_sign_3-21-14-1

Most political pundits believe that the November 2014 elections spell serious trouble for Democrats. Not so fast.

Despite their blustering for the benefit of their friends in the apparatchik press, the party appears to have conceded that it can’t regain a majority in the House of Representatives.

One might therefore think that Republicans have a chance of greatly expanding their current 33-seat House advantage. That doesn’t seem likely.

It’s difficult to overestimate how much harm supposedly helpful GOP gerrymandering in certain red states has done in the current situation. For example, in Ohio, the state’s GOP-dominated apportionment board “cleverly” carved out four heavy-majority Democrat districts for elections beginning in 2012. That year, the Democrats who even had opposition achieved victory margins averaging 46 percent. The fourth ran unopposed. The odds that a real or concocted scandal or controversy might cause an incumbent Buckeye State Republican to lose to a Democrat are far greater than the likelihood that a wave election could unseat an incumbent Democrat.

Perhaps opportunities exist in aggressively gerrymandered blue states. California, Illinois, and New York would seem to be candidates to yield pickups in certain marginally Democratic districts. However, the challenges are formidable. Most obviously, there are the powers and advantages of incumbency. Additionally, local journalists appear on the whole to have become every bit as hostile to anyone who demonstrates a whiff of conservatism and its values as the establishment press in D.C. A GOP establishment which either hasn’t figured out how to or doesn’t have the courage to consistently go over the media’s heads doesn’t help. Speaker John Boehner, himself an obstacle to conducting ideology-based House elections, would probably be (but shouldn’t be) thrilled with a net pickup of 15 seats, which would still leave the GOP miles away from a 290-seat veto-proof majority.

Washington’s Democratic campaign generals are likely to divert campaign resources towards defending their current 55-45 Senate caucus majority.

Of the 36 Senate seats up for grabs, including three special elections for unexpired terms, Democrats currently hold 21. All 15 GOP-held seats are currently consensus polling as holds. The same polls, all of which tend to oversample Democrats, especially in non-presidential elections, identify eight currently Democrat-held seats as clearly vulnerable, and only six as supposedly safe.

To achieve an old-fashioned filibuster-proof majority of 60 which reflects how the Senate was run until Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid changed the rules last year, Republicans would have to win all 15 non-safe Democrat-held Senate seats while losing none of their own. A miraculous run of the entire table would still leave them one vote shy of a 67-seat veto-proof majority.

President Barack Obama, whose performance is for all practical purposes the one and only reason for the vulnerability of the senators on his team, is already whining that off-year elections aren’t a “representative cross-section of America.” No, they’re a better representation of the will of informed people who care about the future direction of the country, and in this case the continued existence of its Constitution-based government.

Comments are closed.

Top Rated Comments   
Republicans would have to win all 15 non-safe Democrat-held Senate seats while losing none of their own. A miraculous run of the entire table would still leave them one vote shy of a 67-seat veto-proof majority.

If Republicans pitch a shut-out this fall, be safe in the knowledge there will be at least 3-4 Dem Senators up for re-election in 2016 in complete freak-out mode, at least on Obamacare if not a couple of other issues. If they're in places where they don't think Hillary at the top of the ticket will save them -- or if Hillary herself starts backing away from Obamacare and the guy in the White House at warp speed to prepare for trying to not run as Obama's third term -- the GOP may not need to get to 67 to override the president's veto on a few of the hottest hot-button issues.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
It will be a battle of telling the truth against an avalanche of lies, a mudslide of conspiratorial media coverups, a tornado of hit pieces, a tsunami of slanders and a hurricane of false accusations.

The Washington Post has shown its willingness to openly lie about the Koch Brothers and when caught, arrogantly and viciously cover up their evil intent.

The Propaganda Machine is in bed with the Democratic Party by marriage and by other incestuous relations. Whatever races they can't steal by yellow rag journalism, they will soil every act taken by the Republicans to save the country from the disastrous path to hell it has been set on by the small c communists.

Frankly, if we had a free and fair media...the leftists would not stand a chance to rule. They would be a fringe party.

The twin tragedies are inextricably intertwined. The leftists have nearly destroyed the country. And the despicable, treasonous media has conspired to make that happen...AND to prevent the people of this land of ours from having the information they need to undo the damage.

Tyranny cannot survive a free and fair media and freedom cannot survive a corrupt and conspiratorial one.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
Veto proof wins?.. I don't think any of us would predict that, welcome them, certainly.. but not expect..

What's going be fun is watching democrats who tout every off year or special election as proof that their agenda is selling when they believe they will win, tell us that a complete hammering at the pols means absolutely nothing when they lose.

I remember 94, 2010, both times the dems and MSM were in complete denial, certain it was not going to be so bad,.. then when the numbers came in, you could see the depression and horror spread across the big three's anchors. The mood went from optimistic to that of covering a state funeral in minutes, CBS especially got down right hostile to the voters,.. as in, "HOW DARE THEY"... their politics were as obvious that night in 94, as their disdain for Bush was in 04. Their disgust that Reagan won in 80,... now being enlisted then,.. the mood in the barracks was ecstatic.

Election night should be fun, I'll check in with CBS just to see the abject on air depression.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (31)
All Comments   (31)
Sort: Newest Oldest Top Rated
I would never underestimate the Democrats. If Clinton could survive, and Obama could be re-elected, anything is possible.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
In Poker, a really bad player or novice who bets on poor cards, whines about their cards and folds under stress is called a Donkey.

It is called the desperate sweaty smell of barn animals.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
A senate takeover is pretty meaningless. This GOP isn't going to do anything bold. Forget about it. The only hope is a dynamic conservative president who can whip these tools into action.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
My own recommendation would be to stop the culture wars where possible, and focus on economic issues, meanwhile decoding collectivist propaganda. The Right has barely begun that task. First step: recognize that communists and social democrats have merged. Pop Front politics identify the Right as racist and fascist. So stop being racist and authoritarian. See http://clarespark.com/2012/07/19/communist-ideas-go-mainstream/.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
By authoritarian I assume you mean non-libertarian; interesting point. But racist?
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Press will ride in to the rescue about 48 hours before the polls open, blasting barrels of ink. Republican has secret family south of the border; Republican pled to a wet and reckless 30 years ago. Meanwhile, the search for Obama's transcripts and records continues.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
The desperation that the democrats are feeling now is nothing to what they will be feeling as they stand before the JUDGE on the Great White Throne.

I will not hold back; I will not have pity, nor will I relent. You will be judged according to your conduct and your actions, declares the Sovereign Lord.’”


30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
While dems who are in trouble seem to be running away from Obamacare, the repubs need to remind voters that when things come up for a vote that dems vote as a bloc. No independent thinkers there. Rmemeber Democrats AND ONLY democrats gave us Obamacare. And they WILL continue to vote as their leaders direct them, no matter what they might say when their political careers are on the line in conservative-leaning districts. Actions speak louder than words. Barack has certainly showed that to be the case.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
very true. I am still amazed at how many republicans I know that did not go out and vote. Even worse, when it comes to voting for senate and house or even state, many are uninterested. Vote in block: case in point are how many republicans are bashing Rubio for "caving on immigration" when he is still holding strong to the key items required for passing a conservative reform. Republican/libertarians have actually fallen for a lot of the Pravda Press fed by the leftists.
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
"Republican candidates should make no apologies for free-market principles — and they should commit to repealing the statists’ worst disaster to date: Obamacare."

Apologies for free-market principles? I doubt most R's would know a free-market principle if it kicked them between the legs. I'm simply hoping the idiots know a politically advantageous move -- the complete repeal of Obamacare -- when they see one.

Of course, they're not called the Stupid Party for nothing...
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
The dems aren't the only desperation in town. A few notable RINOs are being affected as well: http://bit.ly/1jr1JuR
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
When even Jimmy Carter complains about our president then guess who else is paying attention to elections yes even low infos! This will be another 1980 election year as will 2016!
30 weeks ago
30 weeks ago Link To Comment
1 2 3 Next View All