As the weather heats up, so do this year's top Senate races. (For complete 2014 midterm coverage, get your campaign fix on The Grid.)
Factors on both the Senate and House fronts seem to indicate we’re heading toward a more neutral outcome.
How these four House contests play out will help show us which way the political wind blows.
Just because House incumbents have a better than 93% chance of winning doesn't mean there aren't competitive races to watch.
There are House races that are just now being seen as competitive, while we are likely to wake up the day after the election and find races that were on no one's radar decided for the GOP.
Small blips on the radar showing Democrats narrowing the gap are not indicative of a general trend that would save them from a crushing defeat in November.
The forecast is getting ominous for Democrats as the trends continue to tilt toward a GOP wave that will inundate the majority and bring Republicans back to power.