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A Primary Primer for Primary Voting

The Vodkapundit on who's sitting pretty, and who may need a little vodka themselves tomorrow.

by
Stephen Green

Bio

June 9, 2014 - 1:17 pm
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The big action in Tuesday’s primary votes is in South Carolina, which features not one but two Senate face-offs for GOP voters. RINO Lindsey Graham seems to be anything but endangered as the opposition is split between six other candidates. The best known, at least judging by the amount of PR mailers hitting my inbox, is probably state Senator Lee Bright. The crowded field also include a coupe of business owners (Richard Cash and Nancy Mace), two attorneys (boo!), and pastor Det Bowers. All of Graham’s challengers are running well to the right of him, but none seems likely to beat him, even in deepest Red of the South. Graham maintains a 40-point lead over his closest competitor, and is a virtual lock to keep his seat in November. However, Graham may have to square off against Bright again in a special runoff election, should he fail to garner 50 percent of the vote.

But my favorite race of the entire primary season is that other race in South Carolina, featuring Tim Scott clinging on for dear life against The Man Who Wasn’t There. Scott was appointed to his seat by Governor Nikki Haley last year, following Jim DeMint’s surprise resignation to run the Heritage Foundation. In March, a gentleman by the name of Randall Young paid the $10,440 filing fee, then… disappeared. Cue the spooky music, because despite repeated attempts by the media and by the South Carolina GOP to contact him, nobody has heard a word from Young since March. The most I could learn about Young is a newspaper article from Saturday, helpfully describing him as a “Greenville resident.” Apparently Young mis-learned one of the most important lesson in politics, which is to take the money and run.

Also Tuesday, South Carolina Democrats will choose their sacrificial lambs to run against (almost certainly) Graham and (perhaps!) Scott in November. Neither race is considered competitive by either party. The same could probably be said of Tuesday’s House primaries, where a half-dozen incumbents are expected to swat down a half-dozen challengers.

The other big state with big votes today is Virginia, where the GOP establishment seems likely to defeat yet another Tea Party challenger. Perhaps no Republican congressman has dashed conservative hopes quite so badly as Eric Cantor, first by lining up dutifully behind Speaker John Boehner, and more recently with his defiance of his party’s grassroots on amnesty. That might explain — OK, it totally explains — Saturday’s Daily Caller poll showing Cantor with his head barely above water at 52%. But his opponent Dave Brat polled at just 39, so barring a Tea Party turnout shock, Cantor will be sitting pretty on Tuesday night. If you’re looking for a signal of Tea Party strength, check the returns tomorrow morning. Two years ago, Cantor won his primary by a massive 79-21% margin.

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All Comments   (14)
All Comments   (14)
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Oh dear, yet another 'Brat' in Congress; Will he make a difference ?
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Looks like Tim Scott won handily.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Hey, Green....lay off the vodka, will ya?
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Adios, Eric Cantor!

Whattayaknow? That "Path to Citizenship" seemed to work out pretty well...for YOU.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
God Save America and South Carolina from Lindsey Graham
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Unfortunately the LIV votes for the name--Graham gets his name on TV, therefore Graham wins. I cast my vote for Cash-- Richard Cash, that is!
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Graham has two things in his favor, name recognition, and keystone cops republican opposition. Maybe the people see him as a twofer, they get a republican that acts like a democrat and a lot of attention from his serial outrages. He thinks he is his own man but he part of a clown team with McCain. A pair of fools running around on the national stage throwing buckets of confetti at the spectators. We are not amused or served.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
You forgot the obvious. Half the reason these incumbents like Cantor are hanging in there is Democrat crossover. Across the country in Primaries where the Dems don't have a chance in hell of Winning anything they cross over and vote for the rhino. Here in Texas it is a problem and I don't see why we have to put up with it. It is our Party lets change the rules and make it where you can't vote in the primary unless you have voted as a registered Republican in the last 2 election cycles. You will start seeing some more Tea Party type candidates winning in these entrenched Rhino Seats.

15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Primary challengers who fall short still serve a purpose when the scare the incumbent. Republican politicians "vote better" when they fear losing to Republican challengers more than they fear losing to Democrats. Insincere conservative voting records are still conservative voting records.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
Gotta love the maps. All too many of those "red" states are actually, barely, a mild pink at best. Contrariwise, most of the "blue" ones are so dark they are essentially black. (No, not due particularly to the color of their residents - places like Oregon chase out their Blacks by making it economically impossible for them to live there.)
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
I can tell you haven't actually been to Oregon recently. The only people who find Oregon economically difficult, are those who habitually work for a living. That's thanks to the Greens and the Feds.

Those who exist on government entitlements find Oregon quite congenial.
15 weeks ago
15 weeks ago Link To Comment
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