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Rubin Reports

The Middle East, at the Beginning of 2014

January 5th, 2014 - 1:36 pm

The Egypt-Muslim Brotherhood-Hamas conflicts, the Syrian civil war, the conflict between the Shi’a and Sunni blocs (the latter including Saudi Arabia), and Turkish-Arab friction are all signs of this. If the West is willing to keep Assad as dictator of Syria, the Sunni rebels will never accept this, and the Syrian civil war will only be intensified in the coming year.

Ammar Abdulhamid, a respected analyst on Syria, has pointed out that “re-legitimating the Assad regime today, after all it had done, will green light genocidal ventures elsewhere in the world.” Of course, if the United States helped to overthrow the Assad regime in Syria, there would also be a risk of genocide against the Alawites and the Christians (who make up about 30% of the population).

I hate to say it, but it is almost as if the Obama administration simply wants to keep the supposed “deal” alive until after the 2016 elections, so it can boast a great diplomatic triumph in the Middle East by resolving all problems — only to then let the deal collapse.

This could explain why President Obama said there was only a 50-50% chance that the deal would go through. Usually, the president and secretary of State do not talk about the certainty of deals before they are much closer to being completed.

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45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
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46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
For whatever reason Writers at PJ media refuse to acknowledge Saudi Arabia's role supporting global terrorism and funding of terrorist groups, attacks, and Sharia law.
Saudi Arabia funded the attack in Mumbai, and is finally being brought under scrutiny for its role in the attack on NYC on 9/11. Saudi Arabia funds Pakistani terrorist groups, MB, Hamas, and Sharia movement worldwide.
Why people refuse to investigate or acknowledge Saudi role is obvious, we made a deal with the devil; Saudi's manage US petro dollar reserves and US government did not understand Saudi strategies when Nixon made that ill fated deal in 1971.
But we can take the hit and survive a divorce of Saudi interests...its just a matter of having the courage to do so..
Then maybe the world can give Saudi Arabia an ultimatum to cease funding Terrorist attacks on the USA, India, Russia and China....or suffer the consequences.
Of course that would take courage.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
a lot of countries around the world will be broken up, we are in a disintegrative phase after an integrative phase. The repeated resolution of disputes by partitioning countries has made turning to that solution the option of choice. Here in the US there is also a growing minority that spans the political spectrum and favors separation into two independent countries.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Why should any of this surprise anyone? Obama's weltanschauung was no secret prior to be elected POTUS. All one had to do was connect the many dots in his past to understand what he would do as President.

We now have a bunch of children playing adult games in Washington
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Regardless Obama's wishes, before the end of decade, the ME map will be changed forever. Eventually both Syria and Iraq will be broken up. The question is at what cost. When it happens there is no doubt, Turkey will be next. To top of all In response to Iran The Saudis will not hesitated to pay big bucks to Pakistan for ready to use nuclear bomb., Unless Israel acts alone. No matter what happens The ME will not be same ever.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Sunnis and Shiites taking some time of from being at Christian and Jewish throats to spend more time at each others throats. Boo, hoo, hoo.

Saudi Arabia and Iran could even go at it more directly than they are now. Boo, hoo, hoo.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
If the world's choices are down to al Qaeda, the Muslim Brotherhood, Russia, or Obama/Jarrett/Kerry...we are surrounded by enemies.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Well, the problem is that AQ, MB, and Obama et al. are all batting for the same team.

So it's really Russia or Obama, or (but not really) the GOP.

Since there is no GOP, we're, umm, doomed?
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
I think the most apt parrallel is Vietnam. The Nixon adminstrated signed a crappy deal to save face, brought the troops home and then abandoned South Vietnam when the North took over shortly thereafter. Let's see, crappy deal in Syria, Iran and Israel: check. stage set for abandonment of allies: check. time to get out of office before blame can be aportioned: pending.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
60,000 American troops had already been killed there and congress cut off the funding for the ARVN.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
I think we're headed into global conflict vis-a-vis the Muslim Brotherhood and their franchises throughout the world, connections to drug cartels and the Pakistani ISI, etc. I just can't precisely say when Washington D.C. became their global HQ...

As Fallujah Goes, So Goes America
http://nyyrc.com/blog/2014/01/as-fallujah-goes-so-goes-america/

On Christmas, the Egyptian government got around to officially declaring the terrorist Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist group. The Brotherhood, it will be remembered, attempted to assassinate Nasser, did assassinate Sadat, and wanted to condemn Mubarak to death. Once in power, they turned Egypt into a living nightmare, spooking the population through random acts of terror, and systematically targeting Coptic Christians in a way that would make the Nazis proud. The Brotherhood has been a terrorist group since its inception, complete with a “secret apparatus” that functions much like the S.S. and Gestapo, terrorizing the population and conducting surveillance through covert networks. The Egyptian government, who has been jailing and killing the roving/marauding Brotherhood for months, merely gave themselves additional legal justification.

The designation, you would think, would be uncontroversial. Yet in a matter of days, both the State Department and Department of Defense lectured the Egyptian government, telling them that they should be “politically inclusive” of the terrorist group. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel “expressed concern” over the designation, and “stressed the role of political inclusiveness.” Secretary of State John Kerry was also “concerned” that the Egyptian government did something they should have done 60 years ago. According to the State Department, Kerry “underscored the need for an inclusive political process across the political spectrum that respects the fundamental human rights of all Egyptians in order to achieve political stability and democratic change.”
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
"As Fallujah Goes, So Goes America"

Quadruple facepalm.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
What's MB4, pray tell?
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
In my view al Qaeda, the Taliban and their parent organisation the Muslim Brotherhood are so abusive that when they actually get into power they subjects get sick of them very quickly. Petraeus was able to make an alliance with the Anbar province Sunnis because al Qaeda in Iraq was prostituting their daughters and sisters and chopping off young men's hands for smoking while using drugs themselves. Likewise the MB didn't last long in Egypt because the people revolted against them with the backing of the army. I don't think the Christians, Druze or Alawites and so stupid as to not know their fate under a Sunni absolutist regime - al Qaeda or MB. So Obama's policies have allowed these people to make a comeback and spread their control to Libya and down into the African interior. Between Barry and the above comment I can see why I feel more supportive of the Egyptian military than I do of the US government. Like Bush they may not be the most skilful in opposing the enemy, but at least they can name them!
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
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