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Rubin Reports

The West’s New Syrian War

June 11th, 2013 - 3:18 pm

On the political level, U.S. pressure failed to force the Muslim Brotherhood-dominated exile leadership to add the real political moderates! Even as financial aid is being (temporarily?) withheld, the “official” opposition won’t expand its base. How about withholding all money and aid until they yield or choosing a new official leadership?  If the United States can’t stop–or doesn’t want to stop–the Brotherhood from dominating an exile leadership, how is it ever going to do so after a victory in the civil war?

So that’s not a solution either. Because the FSA is closely aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood forces. Many of its soldiers are Brotherhood, Salafist, or even al-Qaeda sympathizers. Some have even been defecting to al-Qaeda, presumably with their weapons. The FSA is not ideologically moderate, consistent, or—except for its officers—anti-Islamist. And it is very weak, weaker even then the al-Qaeda supporters.

Yet that’s not all. Given the mixing up of the groups and their strategic requirements, a weapons system that is given to the FSA may easily end up in the hands of the Syrian Islamic Liberation Front, Syrian Islamic Front, or Jabhat al-Nusra. That may happen due to the necessities of war or sheer bribery or defections.

And when the war is over or deadlocked, those arms are going to flow out of Syria to every terrorist group in the world. Here is a story about how al-Qaeda is training with weapons to shoot down civilian airliners which the rebels already possess in Syria.

Finally, how many arms will be needed to bring a rebel victory? You can predict what will happen: more and more will be demanded; if just a bigger force is supplied the rebels will promise victory. It’s a slippery slope. And then will the need for direct intervention be demanded since just the supply of weapons alone isn’t sufficient? How directly is the United States willing to confront Russia, Iran, and Hizballah? Is it prepared to do so? Maybe it should be, but it’s not.

So the supposedly simple concept—alas, two years too late—of “let’s support the moderates” doesn’t mean much anymore. Granted, if you want to find the least bad solution, backing the FSA sounds good. In the end, though, what will actually happen?

Ethnic massacres? How is the United States going to stop them? The Alawites, Shia (there are a few) Muslims, and Christians are in the greatest danger; so is anyone not sufficiently a pious Sunni Muslim, and perhaps also Kurds and Druze. The FSA cannot or will not prevent massive killings.

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All Comments   (8)
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The Syrian killing spree didn't happen out of thin air, nor did all the regional explosions which happened under Obama's ring of fire. They had quite a few "hidden hands" and this is not conspiracy talk. More to the point, the Pyromaniac-in-Chief must be exposed for this and that - http://adinakutnicki.com/2013/05/30/war-drums-blaring-the-commander-in-chief-is-awol-russia-in-charge-irans-axis-ascendant-israel-left-dangling-commentary-by-adina-kutnicki/

The next few weeks are crucial in my neck of the woods...my northern border is on fire!!


Adina kutnicki, Israel http://adinakutnicki.com/about/
44 weeks ago
44 weeks ago Link To Comment
This is the logical extension of sending weapons to the Mexican Mafia. Now our overseers want to send weapons to Muslim terrorists. We're nuts.
44 weeks ago
44 weeks ago Link To Comment
"This is a very dangerous, risky, and likely failed policy that is being set in motion here." Yep, yet another potential feather in Obama's cap. (With Obama I'm assuming any failure is deliberate -- the bigger the disaster, the more Syrians who'll land in America. Just another Obama goal to "transform America.")
44 weeks ago
44 weeks ago Link To Comment
Grim analysis indeed with the added possibility of extending the suicidal immigration policy of Europe to the US. Having post colonial academics actually running major Western counties is a thoroughgoing disaster.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
Why is it that the oil rich states, which are in demand of cheap labor are never willing to take in fellow arab refugees? They are such hypocrites.

Susan Rice and Samantha Power have more than humanitarian motives for wanting the U.S. to take in hundreds of thousands of Arab, Muslim refugees. Of course they will eventually become citizens. And eventually their votes can become important enough to erode domestic support for Israel.

Once Arabs and Muslims become U.S. citizens, they seem to shed their previous national identities and take on the identity of Arab-American and Muslim-American. The only exception, of course, is "Palestinian-American." This designation survives emigration into any country. And not only does it not fade, it enlarges itself in each succeeding generation.
Samantha Power and Susan Rice will use every and any tactic to undermine support for Israel.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
A truly ugly choice, but I could state a preference. I would rather deal with the al-Qaida terrorists than a confederation of Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah. Taking Hezbollah's supply route away from them and killing a large number of them and denying Russia its port on the Mediterranean Sea would be preferable.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
I'd rather Assad won. A corrupt bloodthirsty fascist dictator is better than than a corrupt bloodthirsty Islamic Republic looking destabilize adjacent countries.
44 weeks ago
44 weeks ago Link To Comment
Oh my, displaced people to be resettled in the US ... it should be or, it sounds good, then, unfavorable in the long run. When that happens, the US will evolve into a new ... actually, though the war is an impetus to disperse populations, it brings with it an unimaginable emergence of a US-Islamic culture ? That's for certain ! And ( we can thank Susan Rice and Party ), if that's the possible case, our kind of peace will really take on an overhaul in meaning and definition. Let's brace ourselves.
45 weeks ago
45 weeks ago Link To Comment
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