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What to Expect When Obama Visits Israel

March 12th, 2013 - 8:38 am

The U.S. government will talk about the prospects for democracy in Syria, how the Muslim Brotherhood there is going to be moderate and pragmatic, and how the aim of U.S. policy is to use the Brotherhood to restrain the Salafists.

Israeli officials will be very polite in discussions, and sarcastic when they talk among themselves afterward. The two countries’ interests may not clash, but their perceptions of how to promote those interests do. The United States will help install in Syria a regime that is likely to be hardline anti-Israel and might well form an alliance with Egypt and Hamas, try to destabilize Jordan, and give help and weapons to anti-Israel terrorists. That might be an improvement over what exists now, but American help to Syrian moderates would have been far preferable. Israel is very much aware of the new danger from Syria.

Hopefully there will be some discussion over Egypt. Obama will emphasize that the peace treaty has not been renounced and that the Brotherhood regime is, at least for the moment, blocking the flow of weapons into the Gaza Strip. Israel will say thank you and talk about how this needs to continue, and about its worries that the new Egyptian government will get more militant on foreign policy once it entrenches itself in power.

Iran: Presumably, the U.S. delegation and Obama will emphasize their optimism about negotiations with Tehran and express wishful thinking that the June election will result in a more moderate government after President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad leaves office. In other words, they will preach hope and patience.

In addition, they will stress that all options are being kept open and that the United States will never accept Iran having nuclear weapons. How the U.S. government is going to stop this is quite unclear. Personally, I don’t believe that Obama will ever attack Iranian nuclear facilities or support such an Israeli operation.

I’m not saying he should do so; I’m just predicting he won’t do so.

There might also be talk about covert operations, perhaps even based on U.S.-Israel cooperation, and intelligence-gathering efforts on Iran’s drive to obtain nuclear weapons.

What’s not clear is how much Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will emphasize the idea of an attack on Iranian facilities. Presumably, he will say that he is happy to give the United States and other Western countries time to try non-military means, including sanctions. He will warn them that negotiations won’t work. He might say something to the effect that Israel will wait out 2013, but when 2014 comes and Iran’s drive continues, that would be the moment for a military response.

The reality is, however, that Obama will continue to deny that his strategy is one of containing Iran; rather he will say that his goal is preventing Iran from getting nuclear weapons. That will go on until Iran gets nuclear weapons and Obama switches to a containment strategy.

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Top Rated Comments   
"One prince of the present time, whom it is not well to name, never
preaches anything else but peace and good faith, and to both he is
most hostile, and either, if he had kept it, would have deprived him of
reputation and kingdom many a time." - The Prince
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (14)
All Comments   (14)
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The definition of insanity is doing the same things over and expecting different results.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What to expect from the Obama visit to Israel? The answer lies in six points pertinent to current USA policy. First, with regard to the Middle East, the President himself calls all the shots. Second, as in the 2009 Cairo speech, President Obama explicitly tells us that he wants to reach out to "the Muslim World." Third, since entering office, the President's actions point to a "big picture" wherein the USA increasingly withdraws from the Middle East. Fourth, this White House plays its cards with eyes obsessively focused on USA domestic politics. Fifth, in appointing Kerry, Hagel and Brennan, the President carefully chose not Anthony Eden but rather men who --come what may-- will certainly go along with any decision to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions, as in a possible deal accepting Iran as a "threshold" nuclear power. Sixth, 10 years of public opinion polling tell us that Americans regard the Islamic Republic as USA enemy "Number One" and are exceptionally supportive of Israel. So, what does this all amount to? Despite the fact that a few Jews continue building some homes, schools, hospitals, synagogues, businesses and farms east of the 1949 armistice demarcation line --at this precise juncture-- President Obama urgently needs Israel to desist from striking Iran and to validate for the American people his "Neville Chamberlain" plans to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions. This logic explains why he now remarkably pays Israel the signal honor of a presidential visit. For President Obama, the key point is -- who in the USA could "credibly" trash his long-standing plan to accommodate the ayatollahs' nuclear ambitions, if the Israel government itself effectively "koshers" this appeasement policy in the eyes of the American people? And for sure, fully consistent with this interpretation is the trip's focus on USA-Israel cooperation on anti-missile missiles. But wait there is more! President Obama reasonably expects that the Israel trip will dramatically boost his popularity among Israelis. And, he has probably already calculated that, perhaps after the 2014 mid-term elections, he might be able to use this enhanced popularity as an added way to eventually pressure the Israel government into an unsafe agreement for a Palestinian State.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
We CANNOT come to a conclusion of Barack Kardashian's, or politician's collectively for that matter, 'intentions'. ONLY fathom what he/ pols say, do.

The last 48 hours Uhbama met with a dictatir, anti-Semite ahem, 'leader' from SE Asia.

That same 'leader' whose country possesses signs at every border entry point whereas 'Kosher food is not permitted' and those with Israeli passports are NOT allowed to enter said country.

The 'newspapers' from said-country praised this 'leader's' decision to not have an Estate Duty/ Tax whereas the 'leader is quoted as calling said outcome a, '..Gracious and Priceless Gift'. Wow, 'Thanks' for letting me keep my money.

These same 1970's U.S.S.R. Pravda-like 'newspapers' ooze anti-Semitism and frighteningly fictional 'news stories' daily of the goings-on between the strained relationship of Israel- Gaza Strip citizenry.

Heck, even Al-Jazeera would blush most times if attempting to print such bovine nonsense.

Recall Obama's first overseas interview was NOT with our Israeli ally and/ or pro-Israeli news stations.

The infinite-like fictional praises, accomplishments Uhbama heaped on Islam/ M E in his Cairo speech.

His snubbing a vis-a-vis with Netanyahu when he was in the U.S. this past Fall.

Obama choosing Brennan, Kerry and Hagel. The aforementioned are either clueless - hostile towards Israel.

Obama providing F-16's, Abrams tanks to Egypt's Morsi/ MB. As well as SoS Kerry providing evermore U.S. dollars (we don't have) to Egypt recently!

There STILL being a PLO office in D.C., even when the majority of House members sent a letter with 2-party support (Steny Hoyer, D-MD) to Obama to close said office.

I won't even go into the anti-Seimtism Obama proudly displayed prior to his being President, Jr. Senator etc.,
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I rather think that Obama believes that a stronger Iran will improve US posture in the region:
1. It will keep the US out of the line of fire: let the neighbors worry.
2. It will force people to choose sides and will give the US a better bargaining position against the other countries: who wants US out of the area then?

In the longer term, I think Obama and the Left believes that Israel is indefensible both literally and within the ethos of self-determination of peoples, that is if you are in a mascot, oppressed group.

Finally, I think Obama and many others believe that the situation is more manageable without Israel as it exists now. Perhaps a rump state would work under US guarantee.

I think Obama may cut Pollard loose which would put the fox amongst the chickens.

1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
The most logical next job for him would be Secretary General of the UN
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
...wash your mouth out!

1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Prognosticate all you want but the bottom line is this: Obama either embraces the U.S.A.'s long held stance alongside Israel, and does so wholeheartedly without reserve - both personally and publicly - or he decides to go his own way without Israel. Should he choose the latter; not only will I be dissapointedfor Obama, I will be disappointed for us all in the U.S.A.; since the consequences will probably not be to our liking.
Politics doesn't solve anything ... and Obama's cozy relationship with Islam is an accident waiting to happen ... Lord have mercy.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
What to Expect When Obama Visits Israel

Terrorism. The sacrifice of more Jewish lives. May Jewish grandmothers and their grandchildren put off a visit to the local ice-cream parlor during his visit.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
The only reason Obama is going to Israel is to be able to point to this trip as proof that he is Israel's "friend" after Iran announces its nuclear weapon---and he offers Israel "protection" from that weapon on the condition that Israel grants the entire "Palestinian" wish list.

This will be sufficient to fool the American Jews who care about Israel but still reflexively vote Democrat, and keep them on the Democrat plantation.

There is no other purpose to this visit.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
"One prince of the present time, whom it is not well to name, never
preaches anything else but peace and good faith, and to both he is
most hostile, and either, if he had kept it, would have deprived him of
reputation and kingdom many a time." - The Prince
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Sustained 'peace' progress has failed under how many political administration over how many decades?

Since 2000, in the sewer partisan politics, can't even begin to approach our own nations many problems with common sense resolve muchless, the problems of the world for which it injects itself into, decade after decade.

Since Israel has legitimate treaties with The U.S. and its allies, the best approach for Israel, is to let the U.S. know that we'll call you if we need you and until then we're going to do what we believe is in our best interest.

The Jewish political and military lobby entities in America, needs to cease and desist! Therir money and influences corrupts our government and accomplishes nothing for a sustained peace in the region -- as proven for how many decades now?

Most Americans cheerish our Jewish friends and their religious relationship and wish them well in their challenges but we can't contiune on being a dictate over what is their best political and military interest. Just go take care of business and call us if and when you need military backup to ERADICATE the enemy to a point of lawful surrender by the enemy governments and ALL of its political and combat allies in the region. Not willing to do the job right -- don't call us! Time to end the conflicts in the region over Israel!
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Zeke1, while there's some sage words in your post, Israel is doomed on the 'peacemaking' front with her neighbors, respectively.

For those neighbor's adhere to a devolving, forced upon-cult billed as 'religion' in every facet of their voluntarily unrealized lives.

It's unbelievably sad when considering the very same area of the world ~1200 years ago was thee go-to for equality, knowledge on a myriad of matters.

It's not the Israeli's/ Jews who have run away from peace seeking, technological, mathematical, medical, spiritual, engineering, psychological, sociological etc., types of societal advancements.

Israeli's and Jews worldwide continue contributing/ making advancements in many forays.

The Israeli's hands are tied in, '..TCB..' because they're demagogued in EVERY decision/ action they make.. often times the most vitriolic comments/ sound bites are made by the very allies they rely upon!

Recent appointees Kerry, Brennan and Hagel - you can't believe they're the 'Right Stuff' in standing up/ beside Israel's safety, best interests?

The 'Jewish pol and military lobby..' - Seriously? Morsi/ MB just received a shade under $1 billion IOU U.S. dollars, F-16's and Abrams tanks!

What about the PLO office in D.C. ?

Obama speaking of Israel's border needing to go back to '..pre-1973..' to 'increase likelihood of peace..' - ?

The Israeli's have been in the muck and in most circumstances, on their own for some time.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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