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Rubin Reports

But one must also note that things could change in the future, especially with the Brotherhood confident once it has Egypt, the Gaza Strip, and Syria. Remember that the nationalist regime went through a parallel cycle. Gamal Abdel Nasser’s movement seized control over Egypt in 1952, and took 15 years to get around to seeking confrontation with Israel, though within four years such a confrontation seemed possible.

For the time being, however, the situation looks better.

Note: The phrase “Communism in one country” meant that having Communism in one country–the Soviet Union–was enough for Communists and they would not try to spread revolution further. Communsts were supposed to reject this idea. The meaning here is that Hamas would be happy enough to run the Gaza Strip that it wouldn’t be aggressive or subversive to spread its rule further. I’m saying that isn’t true. The same applies for the Muslim Brotherhood generally. How much patience or risk-taking they employ is another matter.

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All Comments   (6)
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A very confusing statement about Naaser. I seem to remember we had a war here in 1956?
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I cannot disagree more Dr. Rubin. First, you seem to be stuck in the mindset of most pro-Israel people that Hamas is actually some sort of threat to Israel. It isn't. The IAF has every square inch of Gaza mapped out and under surveillance, and Hamas throwing a few dud rockets over the Gaza fence that land in empty fields is no threat to Israel, never has been. Hizballah is more potent, but still not much of a threat to Israel since the IDF and the Israeli intelligence establishment know them so well and are quite familiar with Lebanon and have experience dealing with it.

However, what is going on to the north and east is quite serious. Al-Qaeda in Iraq went toe to toe with the American army for years in that country until the Surge in 2007-8 quieted things down. However, that was a deceiving quiet apparently as they now seem to both still well established in Anbar in Iraq but have expanded and gained a foothold in eastern and southern regions of Syria stretching all the way to the Israeli Golan.

This group is daring and unpredictable and the best and boldest Arab fighting force in the Middle East. I am not singing their praises lightly as I think that their ideology is evil, but they are what they are and I would warn Israel not to underestimate them. My guess is that they will one day try to lure the IDF into Syria (and I already see a lot of stupid talk in the Israeli media about a buffer zone) and that their plan is then to give the Israelis a bloody nose far worse than anything that country has ever suffered.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
OK, you try living in the South.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
Why doesn't Israel attack Hizbollah? Syria is in civil war, Hamas is starved for weapons, Iran can't supply them, and Hizbollah has fighters in Syria. Isn't it a perfect time to strike a serious if not mortal blow to Hizbollah.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
You would have to build support for it in Israel. I live in Haifa. Right now there are no missles raining down on us (Time to get to a shelter: 1 minute. Time to get to a shelter in Nahariya: Zero. As per Civil Defense".) If we attacked, there could be, like there were last time.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
I can think of a few reasons why Israel doesn't. Even though Israel has a right to strike against those sworn to it's destruction, an attack would immediately draw criticism from the UN and the muhammadan world, reinforcing the canard that Israel is an aggressor nation.
Hamas, and maybe even Egypt and some elements now in Syria, might use it as an excuse to attack Israel, which would necessitate fighting a war on several fronts.
It would also give the US President his opportunity to take another "get tough" approach with Israel to show that he's a real stand up guy to the muhammadans, and curtail US aid.
1 year ago
1 year ago Link To Comment
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