● The Brotherhood will not even condemn al-Qaida. For example, the new government could have taken a different approach: These extremists are enemies of the Egyptian people because they endanger the state’s stability and economic success. It won’t even do that. So no matter how many cross-border attacks are staged from Egypt and Israel, Egypt will just deny responsibility and blame Israel. What likelihood is there that they will try to vigorously block them?
● Israel has now gotten to the point where it can protect itself from cross-border attacks. We are dealing here with open country where it is hard to sneak up on the border and well-distributed Israeli defense forces that can get to any point on the frontier very quickly.
So in strategic terms, such attacks are not a huge threat but on geopolitical terms the danger is rising steadily.
The U.S. government response is to offer to help train and assist Egypt’s army and government. But the government is not part of the solution but rather part of the problem.
Some Salafist demonstrators chased President al-Mursi away from the Egyptian soldiers’ funeral. In effect, they were saying: These people were not heroes, they were getting in the way of the jihad against Israel. The implication is: you better get out of the way, too. But other demonstrators took the army’s side and blamed the Brotherhood for getting Egypt into unnecessary violence. The Egyptian air force hit jihadist camps, so aren’t they like the Mubarak-era army protecting Israel or are they protecting Egyptian national interests? That’s the point.