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Rubin Reports

Obama’s Middle East Policy: A Unified Field Theory

December 5th, 2011 - 12:11 am

During the earlier part of Phase Two — in February 2011 when the upheaval was happening — Obama was still in denial. When asked about the Muslim Brotherhood, he responded:

“I think that the Muslim Brotherhood is one faction in Egypt. They don’t have majority support in Egypt. But they are well-organized and there are strains of their ideology that are anti-U.S. There’s no doubt about it. But here’s the thing that we have to understand, there are a whole bunch of secular folks in Egypt, there are a whole bunch of educators and civil society in Egypt that wants to come to the fore as well. And it’s important for us not the {to] say that our only two options are either the Muslim Brotherhood or a suppressed Egyptian people.

“What I want is a representative government in Egypt. And I have confidence that if Egypt moves in an orderly transition process, that we will have a government in Egypt that we can work with together as a partner.”

In other words, the people can’t get it wrong; the Brotherhood can’t win; and everything will be all right. As the months passed, however, this evolved into believing that the people can’t get it wrong; the Brotherhood will win; and everything will be all right.

The Clinton and Panetta speeches explain the new policy. Have no doubt that all of these statements are coordinated along with many others. The talking points have gone out to everyone. The phrases and concepts — like the idea that Israel is isolating itself — have been used more than once. These are not isolated errors but rather following the White House-designated script.

For example the U.S. ambassador to Belgium explains to a conference of Jewish lawyers that Muslim antisemitism stems from Israel’s policy (thus ignoring centuries of proof to the contrary) and will end if Israel reaches a peace agreement with the Palestinians (thus ignoring the fact that Islamists oppose any peace agreement and do everything possible to block it). He also showed a video of himself being warmly applauded while visiting a Muslim school.  Before the stunned participants in the conference could respond, he left.

Summary: Muslims good; Islamists moderate;  No peace? Israel’s fault; ears closed. Have a nice day!

In brief, the Obama administration encourages and supports the coming to power of fanatically anti-Israel groups, then has the nerve to say Israel is becoming isolated because it isn’t making enough concessions! They encourage and support the rise of regimes that are totally against any peace with Israel or any two-state solution, then have the nerve to say that Israel can defuse the situation by making peace.

In the new phase, the Turkish Islamist regime became Obama’s guru. The Turkish model was presented as the best route for the future. To Obama’s administration, this means a stable democracy incorporating “moderate Islamism.” In reality, it means takeovers by radical Islamists pretending to adhere to democratic norms.

The administration assumes that the Muslim Brotherhood would be moderate. Only the barest lip service was given to its need to prove its credentials.  The Obama administration actually welcomed Islamist victories in Egypt and Tunisia, while doing nothing to prevent that from happening in Libya. In Syria, the Obama administration collaborated with Turkey to push Islamists to the fore in running the Syrian opposition.

In short, the Obama administration has taken the Islamist side, the side of anti-American, anti-Western, genocide-minded toward Israel, anti-Christian, and anti-women’s rights forces. It keeps insisting that these are harmless forces, even the “good guys” who will bring about true democracy.

As a result, every traditional Arab ally in the region has been betrayed, as well as Israel. Every real democratic movement in the region has been betrayed (Egypt, Iran, Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, etc.) either by a failure to help them, by active U.S. help for their enemy, or both.

The results are predictably catastrophic. As the danger becomes increasingly obvious, as the Islamists show their fangs, the Obama administration will ignore it. As crises develop further, the Obama administration will either do nothing or side with the aggressors.

This kind of problem is totally unprecedented in the history of U.S. Middle East policy. There have, of course, been many mistakes. Yet policymakers have kept some ambiguity in analyzing these developments. The Obama administration has no doubts.

Previous policymakers who are professionals dedicated to protecting U.S. interests have been open-minded to recognizing that they were wrong and adjusting policy accordingly. By now, with the landslides for Islamists in Egypt and Tunisia they would have quickly changed course. The Obama administration is singularly closed-minded and, unfortunately, these bad tendencies are endorsed by much of the media and academic “experts” who, in the past, provided a critical perspective.

The president is systematically removing strong and knowledgeable people from top posts. The national security advisor and the secretary of defense are now political hacks, mere mouthpieces for Obama. While Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has at times showed dissent, she has now been turned into a puppet either because she accepts the policy or is just going through the motions and counting the days until she leaves office, presumably to be replaced by another pawn of the White House

It is clear that Obama will neither learn nor change and if he is given a second term, the whirlwind will be reaped.

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