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Here’s what they say: Elections.

You think Cruz is implausible? Here’s what passes for plausible in Beltway GOP thinking:

The defunding strategy depends on a government shutdown, or at least the threat of one. A government shutdown is certain to be extremely damaging to Republicans. Public anger over it will result in poor GOP performances in the 2014 midterms, and probably beyond — including the all-important 2016 presidential election. But if we refrain from the unrealistic defunding quest and avoid a shutdown, electoral success is assured. After all, in the next two or three cycles, Republican campaigns will be fueled by the implementation of Obamacare, which will be increasingly unpopular. Once Republicans build commanding congressional majorities and win the presidency, they will repeal Obamacare.

Note that, in outlining the GOP establishment game-plan, I am not arbitrating the competing claims about whether prior government shutdowns, especially in the mid-nineties, have badly hurt Republicans. For argument’s sake, I am fully accepting the GOP establishment’s argument that a shutdown would be disastrous for Republicans. I am also indulging the establishment assumption that — although it ran utterly ineffective campaigns in 2006, 2008 and 2012, and although it has embittered the Tea Party that singularly drove its successful 2010 campaign — Republicans are now an electoral juggernaut: they’ll hold the House and win the Senate in 2014, win the White House in 2016, and even solidify those gains in 2018.

Unlikely as it may be, let’s give them every bounce of the ball and assume all these things will happen. We’re not done yet. Beyond buying all of the above, here is what you have to believe to accept the GOP establishment position: In 2016 or 2018 — by which time Obamacare subsidies will have been doled out for three to five years (i.e., they will now be deemed entitlements); and businesses and insurance companies (the ones that have not been killed off) will already have made their long-term arrangements around Obamacare; and a huge government bureaucracy employing thousands of federal workers will have grown up around Obamacare; and a massive statutory and regulatory monster whose tentacles stretch deep into other sectors of the economy will have cemented Obamacare — intrepid Republicans are going to pull the plug on the whole thing.

Really?

Mind you, we are talking about a Republican establishment that enacted a new prescription drug entitlement in 2003 that, by some calculations, has burdened the nation with over $16 trillion in unfunded liabilities. We are talking about a Republican establishment that has historically collaborated with Democrats in the explosive growth of entitlements — that, in fact, ran in 2012 as the champion of Medicare. We are talking about a Republican establishment that has always qualified that it wants not to “repeal” but “repeal and replace” Obamacare. It does that because it wants to maintain popular elements (e.g., mandatory coverage despite pre-existing conditions) regardless of the fact that these elements entail government regulations that distort the market — even though it is precisely such distortions that, they otherwise claim, make Obamacare unacceptable.

That is to say, we are talking about a Republican establishment that is progressive in orientation, albeit not as radically so as the Democrats. Unlike conservatives, the GOP establishment accepts the progressive premise that health care (including health insurance) is not a commodity in a free market. It is, instead, corporate property the consumption of which must be regulated by government — including redistributions of wealth to require productive members of society to subsidize “the uninsured,” an amorphous category that outstrips, by leaps and bounds, the fringe of society that cannot fend for itself. Further distancing themselves from conservatives, the Republican establishment accepts the Left’s premise that health care regulation is a central government responsibility — adopting an extravagant reading of the Constitution’s General Welfare Clause that not only permits a federal role but vanquishes the role of the states.

Those Republicans — the guys who enthusiastically expand government; sneer at conservative demands to cut spending and pare the bureaucracy; insist that enticing “moderates” is the way to win elections; and quake at media suggestions that they are the Party of the Rich, out of touch with the struggles of ordinary people — will boldly dismantle Obamacare after it has been up and running for several years. Oh, and the Democrats — the guys who rammed intensely unpopular Obamacare through in a down-and-dirty, party-line slugfest, and who are so notoriously moderate, reasonable and bipartisan — will just meekly roll over and let it happen.

That’s the plan.

And they say Ted Cruz is dreaming!

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Top Rated Comments   
Great points; there is no way the RINOS will ever move to repeal. They'll trim a branch of a redwood with the complicit support of Democrats (who, will, of course scream that they are killing the tree), and call it good. Go Cruz go.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Unfortunately the country club Republicans are primarily guided by the principle that nothing could be so bad as doing anything that might conceivably contribute to the ending of the political career of a fellow country club Republican. And if the country goes to hell in a hand basket --well, if it keeps even one CCR from losing his position it will be worth it.

Its time to burn the Country Club down and turn the land into a public park.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Rush just posted McAmnesty's disloyal and condescendingly insulting comments about Ted's Triumph. Besides being more than a tad jealous, His Profanity, Mr. McShame... also tipped his hand.. In his Establishment anger, he gave away the store.

It seems that "...we campaigned all over the country, and lost."

Oh? So Oboingo beat the Establishment's chosen puppet the Barely Republican one term (because he'd have lost in a landslide) Governor of a barely American state... Mr. RomenyCare himself... And THEREFORE we are obligated by our Oath of Commitatus to obey His Majesty Oboingo the 2... and his minion Harry of the Crooked Land Deals.

Yeah.. right, just like I thought. The Establishment never wanted Obamacare repealed. In fact, it desperately wanted it passed (without it's fingerprints or epithelial cells on it of course) so that it could ineffectually run against it in perpetuity.

Yeah, To any McCain staff minions monitoring this sight... Your boss is a foulmouthed abusive disloyal political coward.

I stand with Ted Cruz.

R/John - TMF
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (41)
All Comments   (41)
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I will not shed a tear after the last of the greedy old people mercifully dries up and blows away. RIP republican party, and good riddance.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Never trust anybody over 30, right KingKong? You'll be there some day--if you're not killed fighting with the progs on the wrong side of the revolution.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
When you see McCain and the rest of the old guard trashing the new blood, you know it is time for him to go.

http://www.change.org/petitions/john-mccain-retire-from-the-senate
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
The Republican plan for Obamacare, is to allow it to be implemented. while pretending to resist it, and then proclaiming, "We tried to defeat it".
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Exactly!

Obamacare has already begun the destruction of the American healthcare system. Since 1967, the year that Medicare began really operating, and the year that I began my internship, the primary force in American medical care, both in determining services, regulations and costs, has been the federal government.

With Obamacare, this takeover will be complete, and the slippery slope to a single-payer “National Health Service” will be inevitable and irrevocable. Once Obamacare is fully operating, every complaint will be answered by “That’s why we need to have a single-payer system.” In other words, more of the same.

Once it is up and running, which starts next week, Republicans will no more be able to undo Obamacare, than you can unscramble an egg. Ted Cruz is our last hope to stop this fiasco, and may be our last hope to save the country that our Founders designed. It saddens me that my generation may be the last to live in the America that their dreams created.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Repeating here my comment under Bridget Johnson's column:


AdenoidsOut
All of us should keep in mind the massive Congressional hypocrisy in their smug debates [pro and con] on the worthiness [pro and con] of this acknowledged train wreck of a "Bill" [pun alert possibilities abound here] when they themselves apparently will be exempt from its presumed but still uncertain future burdens.
An exemplar of Democracy?

Congress has its perks.

Even the latest news accounts suspect that the costs will vary from State to State. No one seems to know anything. None of those guys knows what's really in this pending legislation.

What a helluva government mess.

YOU, Dear Voters, elected these guys. May as well start the circular finger pointing now.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
The me part of we didn't want anything to do with this, but all my neighbors did, thinking they were going to get their mouths on the government teat and some other body was going to pay the bill. They were shocked and hurt when their small business went out of business.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Well, they don't really have one, but they promise to come up with one right after they get reelected.
Especially Alexander, who has promised the same thing for thirty years.
This time, he means it.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
A brilliant concise take down of the establishment GOP position. It's laughable that they would really think they are so strategic, nuanced and politically adept to pull off anything but Obamacare-lite. Which is what I now fully wait for from these fair-weather conservative poseurs.

BTW, did I miss such lucid and concise arguments made in early 2013? I heard much general arguments against but nothing as tangible as this column.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
"What is the GOP establishment’s strategy for undoing Obamacare?"

(Let me stop laughing first!) Plan? Out Liberal the Lieberals?

They don't need no steenking plan!

'Cuz they are just wonderful and out betters and ...... SHUT UP!
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Andrew McCarthy writes “Thus, if Obamacare is not stopped right now, it will not be stopped — we will be burdened for years, probably permanently, with its catastrophic effects on both our already reeling economy and the quality of American health care.”

I have heard this argument before from many prominent conservatives...Limbaugh, Cruz, Lee, Palin, etc. That argument bothers me more than any other issue facing our country, short of the eventual takeover of America by the religion of Islam. I will discuss that topic on another post.

I fully grasp the problems and challenges of reducing or taking away entitlement programs for the masses. It's been tried over and over with welfare goodies, food stamps, housing programs and all the other give-away ideas that have resulted from government power gone beserk. But to declare an entitlement program will never be stopped after implementation is like declaring a war will never be won regardless of the strategy and number of battles. If that is the prevailing mindset within the halls of Congress, then what is the purpose of citizens voting? What reason would anybody have to get involved in grassroots political activism if the outcome is always going to be defeat?

Not all entitlement programs are poisonous in nature. Those that were designed as a safety net for the masses only become toxic due to the negligence and malpractice of the politicians we designate to be caretakers of the programs. We are quick to demonize the programs, but we become totally complacent when we need to hold politicians accountable for their complacency as caretakers.

Social Security, which I hesitate to call an entitlement program, is a prime example of a compassionate and worthy government program out of control. The program is rife with fraud and abuse. Always has been from the start. However, the program is still alive and will be for years to come unless something else replaces it. If the politicians were serious about dealing with the fraud and abuse, and serious about tweaking the system in terms of retirement age and disability requirements, the program could likely survive for decades to come without the fear of collapse.

Unfortunately, the concerns with Obamacare should have been addressed before the bill was signed into law. But they weren't and we have to deal with it. It cannot be stopped at this point, but it has a solid chance of being repealed in the future after the horrors of implementation and reality become clear in the minds of most Americans. My brother, who is a committed Democrat, is already expressing doubts about Obamacare. He is 66 years of age and is beginning to understand the effects Obamacare will have on the elderly as well as his children and grandchildren. He is not a happy camper and I believe that is true with many middle-aged and older Democrats in the country.

I respect Ted Cruz for what he stands for and what he has done trying to stop the law. I think Ted is actually setting the example of the kind of politicain we will need to send to D.C. in the future as America faces many challenges ahead. I also believe Ted is proving to the grassroots conservative voters that we don't have to accept the status quo, that we don't have to embrace the GOP establishment.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
I am also bothered by the claims that it will be politically impossible to ever repeal Obamacare after it is implemented. It is really a terrible program. So many eggs are being broken to implement it. Surely some eggs can be broken in the future to radically reform the federal government. If not, then really, what is the point of politics at all.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
The eggs to be broken contain the ingredients to make a powerful and potent omelette. That omelette would be a 3rd political party designed and destined to be the salvation of our country. Today, the urgency for a 3rd party is more important than ever before. If we continue on the current path, relying on the Republican Party to get the job done, we are doomed to the ash pile.

The stakes couldn't be higher and the choices more clear. Either we form a 3rd party soon, make personal commitments to change the way business is done in Washington and strive to defeat liberalism, or we will never get this opportunity again. Going forward, generation after generation of young people will be available during the election cycles to perpetuate the ideology of Socialism. They are being educated to depend on the government for their “cradle to grave” needs. We all talk about the “me generation”, but seem to dismiss it as a problem that will take care of itself as time goes on. The truth is, it will only continue to fester and eat away at the very foundations of liberty and freedom for all.

The challenges of forming and preserving a 3rd party would require each and every member to pledge their heart and soul from beginning to end. We are blessed to have access to conservative sites such as PJ Media, HotAir, Breitbart and others, but is not enough to just read the articles and contribute comments. This is going to have to be a concerted grassroots effort similar to the Tea Party, but one designed to last and become a permanent fixture on the landscape of politics.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
The difficulty in repealing it at this point might lie more with the corporations, both the insurance and the large ones who currently supply employer benefits (the ones who also seem bent on pushing the immigration issue this year as well, and have probably bought each congressman several times over). If the US government is concerned with healthcare affecting budgets, it is certain these corporations have noticed the risk of ballooning costs, and are eager to offload them. Two thousand a head is nothing in comparison to what a good healthcare program costs these companies.
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
Once again, there is a fork in the road.

Those in favour of Obamacare, they will get fired on by those who buy US sovereign bonds.

Those in favour of something else, they will get fired on by those who want Obamacare.

Simple enough for all?
29 weeks ago
29 weeks ago Link To Comment
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